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Morgan State

Also known as: Morgan State Bears
Program History

2015 Team Stats (3 games)

59.0
PPG
80.7
Opp
-21.7
Margin
35.6%
FG%
26.8%
3P%
57.6%
FT%
35.3
RPG
8.0
APG
16.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
58.3
Adj PPG
71.3
Adj Opp PPG
#331
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 682 (#335) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 739 (#334) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More โ†’ 884 (#321) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -13.9 (#330) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -14.8 (#341) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.155 (#328) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -21.7 More โ†’ 0.076 (#329) AdjNet -21.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -21.9 More โ†’ 0.074 (#329) AdjNet -21.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 71.3 More โ†’ 0.234 (#331) AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 71.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 72.0 More โ†’ 0.285 (#342) AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 72.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.168 (#337) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.176 (#337) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 144 | GP 31 More โ†’ 711 (#339) RD 144 | GP 31

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 48 - 61
2014-11-17 vs Towson Tigers L 46 - 51
2014-11-20 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 53 - 73
2014-11-22 @ Houston Cougars L 57 - 72
2014-11-25 @ Elon Phoenix L 73 - 74
2014-11-26 vs Liberty Flames W 51 - 50
2014-11-30 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 63 - 83
2014-12-06 @ Norfolk State Spartans L 65 - 85
2014-12-08 @ Hampton Pirates L 58 - 62
2014-12-16 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 63 - 62
2014-12-18 @ Rider Broncs L 48 - 62
2014-12-20 @ Manhattan Jaspers L 69 - 73
2014-12-28 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 53 - 81
2014-12-30 @ UC Riverside Highlanders L 63 - 68
2015-01-02 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 62 - 78
2015-01-06 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 52 - 78
2015-01-10 @ Delaware State Hornets W 73 - 69
2015-01-12 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 53 - 78
2015-01-17 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 75 - 65
2015-01-19 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats L 58 - 65
2015-01-31 @ Howard Bison L 48 - 64
2015-02-02 @ Coppin State Eagles L 67 - 80
2015-02-07 vs Savannah State Tigers W 67 - 57
2015-02-09 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 55 - 43
2015-02-14 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 73 - 70
2015-02-16 vs Hampton Pirates L 65 - 93
2015-02-21 @ North Carolina Central Eagles L 59 - 74
2015-02-23 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies L 57 - 60
2015-02-28 vs Coppin State Eagles L 77 - 88
2015-03-05 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 76 - 89
2015-03-09 @ Hampton Pirates L 71 - 91

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Cedric Blossom Cedric Blossom F 27 33.9 14.0 7.0 0.7 1.0 0.3 1.2 2.3 19.4 -171 22 -7.8 -10.2 36.5 0.0 74.3 -1.26 240.4 36.5
Blake Bozeman Blake Bozeman G 27 33.8 12.3 2.4 1.6 0.6 0.0 1.7 2.5 12.7 -158 22 -7.2 -10.1 36.8 40.5 70.8 -1.1 210.7 47.8
Torin Childs-Harris Torin Childs-Harris G 20 18.3 6.0 2.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.9 0.9 7.6 -43 15 -2.9 -7.7 47.4 33.3 62.5 0.68 228.5 52.6
Andrew Hampton Andrew Hampton F 10 15.2 5.8 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.5 6.9 -31 7 -4.4 -14.6 13.3 11.1 100.0 -2.45 182.6 16.7
Donte Pretlow Donte Pretlow G 27 26.1 5.6 2.5 3.5 1.1 0.0 1.9 1.4 9.5 -92 22 -4.2 -7.4 27.0 0.0 60.0 -0.14 192.6 27.0
Zech Smith Zech Smith C 24 23.8 5.3 6.8 0.1 0.3 1.6 0.9 0.8 12.5 -117 21 -5.6 -11.3 55.0 0 50.0 -3.84 253.2 55.0
Kyle Thomas Kyle Thomas F 27 11.3 4.5 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 5.6 -46 22 -2.1 -8.4 23.3 30.8 33.3 -1.35 178.2 30.0
Rasean Simpson Rasean Simpson G 23 14.0 4.2 2.7 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.8 1.5 5.7 -34 19 -1.8 -6.1 44.1 0.0 56.2 0.85 117.0 44.1
Jamar Redmond Jamar Redmond G 23 10.0 3.5 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.8 3.8 -107 18 -5.9 -22.3 16.7 16.7 60.0 -7.66 200.5 22.2
Cliff Cornish Cliff Cornish F 27 13.0 3.4 2.8 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 5.8 -90 21 -4.3 -15.3 46.7 0 60.0 -4.26 264.5 46.7
Clive Vaughan Clive Vaughan G 18 6.6 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 1.5 1.3 -22 17 -1.3 -9.2 29.6 26.3 50.0 -0.54 68.1 38.9
Emmanuel Matey Emmanuel Matey G 24 12.8 1.8 1.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 1.1 0.7 3.8 -92 18 -5.1 -15.9 35.3 0.0 35.7 -2.83 95.0 35.3
Conrad Chambers Conrad Chambers G 14 4.7 1.4 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 1.6 -7 10 -0.7 -9.2 25.0 0 0 -0.61 250.0 25.0
Jeremiah Curtis Jeremiah Curtis F 10 4.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 -4 9 -0.4 -4.6 0.0 0 100.0 -1.27 159.6 0.0
Jordan Omogbehin Jordan Omogbehin C 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 -1 9 -0.1 -1.7 0.0 0 0 -0.6 0.0 0.0
Anthony Vernon Anthony Vernon - 3 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Christopher Brown Christopher Brown - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG