Morgan State
2015 Team Stats (3 games)
59.0
PPG
80.7
Opp
-21.7
Margin
35.6%
FG%
26.8%
3P%
57.6%
FT%
35.3
RPG
8.0
APG
16.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
58.3
Adj PPG
71.3
Adj Opp PPG
#331
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2014-2015
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 682 (#335) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 739 (#334) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 884 (#321) | HCA +90 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -13.9 (#330) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -14.8 (#341) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.155 (#328) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.076 (#329) | AdjNet -21.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.074 (#329) | AdjNet -21.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.234 (#331) | AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 71.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.285 (#342) | AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 72.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.168 (#337) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.176 (#337) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 711 (#339) | RD 144 | GP 31 |
2015 Schedule & Results
2015 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cedric Blossom
|
F | 27 | 33.9 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 19.4 | -171 | 22 | -7.8 | -10.2 | 36.5 | 0.0 | 74.3 | -1.26 | 240.4 | 36.5 |
Blake Bozeman
|
G | 27 | 33.8 | 12.3 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 12.7 | -158 | 22 | -7.2 | -10.1 | 36.8 | 40.5 | 70.8 | -1.1 | 210.7 | 47.8 |
Torin Childs-Harris
|
G | 20 | 18.3 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7.6 | -43 | 15 | -2.9 | -7.7 | 47.4 | 33.3 | 62.5 | 0.68 | 228.5 | 52.6 |
Andrew Hampton
|
F | 10 | 15.2 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.9 | -31 | 7 | -4.4 | -14.6 | 13.3 | 11.1 | 100.0 | -2.45 | 182.6 | 16.7 |
Donte Pretlow
|
G | 27 | 26.1 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 9.5 | -92 | 22 | -4.2 | -7.4 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.14 | 192.6 | 27.0 |
Zech Smith
|
C | 24 | 23.8 | 5.3 | 6.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 12.5 | -117 | 21 | -5.6 | -11.3 | 55.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -3.84 | 253.2 | 55.0 |
Kyle Thomas
|
F | 27 | 11.3 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5.6 | -46 | 22 | -2.1 | -8.4 | 23.3 | 30.8 | 33.3 | -1.35 | 178.2 | 30.0 |
Rasean Simpson
|
G | 23 | 14.0 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 5.7 | -34 | 19 | -1.8 | -6.1 | 44.1 | 0.0 | 56.2 | 0.85 | 117.0 | 44.1 |
Jamar Redmond
|
G | 23 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 3.8 | -107 | 18 | -5.9 | -22.3 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 60.0 | -7.66 | 200.5 | 22.2 |
Cliff Cornish
|
F | 27 | 13.0 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 5.8 | -90 | 21 | -4.3 | -15.3 | 46.7 | 0 | 60.0 | -4.26 | 264.5 | 46.7 |
Clive Vaughan
|
G | 18 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | -22 | 17 | -1.3 | -9.2 | 29.6 | 26.3 | 50.0 | -0.54 | 68.1 | 38.9 |
Emmanuel Matey
|
G | 24 | 12.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 3.8 | -92 | 18 | -5.1 | -15.9 | 35.3 | 0.0 | 35.7 | -2.83 | 95.0 | 35.3 |
Conrad Chambers
|
G | 14 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.6 | -7 | 10 | -0.7 | -9.2 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.61 | 250.0 | 25.0 |
Jeremiah Curtis
|
F | 10 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | -4 | 9 | -0.4 | -4.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.27 | 159.6 | 0.0 |
Jordan Omogbehin
|
C | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | -1 | 9 | -0.1 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Anthony Vernon
|
- | 3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Christopher Brown
|
- | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG