Morgan State
2006 Team Stats (5 games)
55.0
PPG
82.0
Opp
-27.0
Margin
36.4%
FG%
37.0%
3P%
60.0%
FT%
29.2
RPG
11.0
APG
20.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
51.4
Adj PPG
74.7
Adj Opp PPG
#333
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2005-2006
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 625 (#328) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 647 (#327) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 858 (#316) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -24.5 (#333) | HCA +3.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -20.9 (#332) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.029 (#333) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.011 (#333) | AdjNet -38.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.011 (#333) | AdjNet -38.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.108 (#333) | AdjO 51.4 | AdjD 74.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.216 (#332) | AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 70.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.078 (#333) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.090 (#333) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 637 (#328) | RD 141 | GP 30 |
2006 Schedule & Results
2006 Roster
No roster data available for this season.