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Morgan State

Also known as: Morgan State Bears
Program History

2006 Team Stats (5 games)

55.0
PPG
82.0
Opp
-27.0
Margin
36.4%
FG%
37.0%
3P%
60.0%
FT%
29.2
RPG
11.0
APG
20.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
51.4
Adj PPG
74.7
Adj Opp PPG
#333
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 625 (#328) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 647 (#327) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 858 (#316) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -24.5 (#333) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -20.9 (#332) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.029 (#333) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -38.3 More โ†’ 0.011 (#333) AdjNet -38.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -38.7 More โ†’ 0.011 (#333) AdjNet -38.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 51.4 | AdjD 74.7 More โ†’ 0.108 (#333) AdjO 51.4 | AdjD 74.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 70.2 More โ†’ 0.216 (#332) AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 70.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.078 (#333) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.090 (#333) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 141 | GP 30 More โ†’ 637 (#328) RD 141 | GP 30

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-13 @ Washington Huskies L 51 - 118
2005-11-14 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 49 - 62
2005-11-15 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 51 - 71
2005-11-19 @ Miami Hurricanes L 51 - 83
2005-11-25 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 49 - 77
2005-11-28 @ Towson Tigers L 66 - 71
2005-12-05 @ Maine Black Bears L 38 - 74
2005-12-08 vs Navy Midshipmen L 47 - 73
2005-12-10 vs George Washington Colonials L 75 - 102
2005-12-29 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 46 - 93
2006-01-03 @ Florida Gators L 49 - 92
2006-01-07 @ Florida A&M Rattlers L 42 - 75
2006-01-09 @ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats L 41 - 58
2006-01-14 vs Hampton Pirates L 49 - 80
2006-01-16 vs Norfolk State Spartans L 53 - 81
2006-01-21 @ South Carolina State Bulldogs L 44 - 75
2006-01-23 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies L 42 - 60
2006-01-28 vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks L 67 - 76
2006-01-30 vs Howard Bison W 79 - 75
2006-02-04 vs Florida A&M Rattlers L 79 - 87
2006-02-06 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 81 - 78
2006-02-11 @ Hampton Pirates L 48 - 81
2006-02-13 @ Norfolk State Spartans W 63 - 59
2006-02-18 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs L 51 - 60
2006-02-20 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies L 52 - 56
2006-02-25 @ Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 67 - 60
2006-02-27 @ Howard Bison L 59 - 72
2006-03-01 vs Delaware State Hornets L 43 - 52
2006-03-03 @ Coppin State Eagles L 63 - 67
2006-03-08 @ Hampton Pirates L 51 - 63

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.