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2005-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 31.8% 68.2% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 20.6% 79.4% +7.4 (12.6 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +20 (71-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mathis 26 6-8 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 5 13 4 -
M. Gomes 24 0-2 0-0 1-1 3 0 3 0 3 1 2 -
T. Berkley 23 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 2 0 -
A. Lee 22 5-8 0-0 1-1 3 0 2 0 3 11 5 -
D. Jenkins 20 1-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 3 0 2 8 -
M. Stuart 19 3-10 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 6 0 -
K. Aujla 15 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 -
F. Lymas 14 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
J. McIver 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Reed 12 3-7 2-4 4-4 1 0 0 1 1 12 6 -
C. Warfield 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. O'Reggio 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Barnes 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Boykin Jr. 26 4-6 0-0 4-6 7 1 0 1 2 12 13 -
T. Bazy 26 2-5 0-1 2-2 2 2 3 1 0 6 9 -
J. Wilson 26 2-3 1-2 2-2 2 5 2 0 4 7 9 -
K. Golob 25 3-9 1-6 2-2 6 1 1 1 2 9 7 -
K. Landry 22 5-10 0-0 8-11 3 0 0 1 2 18 10 -
S. Sir 20 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
W. Hensley 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 2 4 4 -
M. Seckold 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
R. McCurdy 12 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 1 0 5 7 -
R. Van Patten 9 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Refner 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter