Moody Bible
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 924 (#646) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -61.2 (#781) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.091 (#744) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.003 (#791) | AdjNet -48.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.003 (#789) | AdjNet -49.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.031 (#791) | AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 95.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.141 (#769) | AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 87.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.052 (#773) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.062 (#773) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 754 (#578) | RD 242 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Maranatha Baptist | L | 70 - 98 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Schultz | - | 1 | 30.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | -61 | -4.7 | -99.2 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.57 | 60.3 | 53.6 |
| Grant Brock | - | 1 | 26.0 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | -86 | -6.1 | -130.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.61 | 112.5 | 112.5 |
| Christian Cleveland | - | 1 | 23.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 70.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | - | 68.9 | 75.0 |
| James Hawley | - | 1 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | -91 | -7.0 | -147.8 | 60.0 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.05 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Joe Shank | - | 1 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 21.0 | -81 | -5.8 | -126.3 | 75.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 1.13 | 103.4 | 100.0 |
| Jonathan Herbster | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -41 | -5.1 | -517.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.74 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG