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Missouri State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Missouri State Bears, Missouri State
Program History
Coach: Dana Ford

2022 Team Stats (4 games)

72.5
PPG
69.1
Opp
+8.3
Margin
48.0%
FG%
42.5%
3P%
81.3%
FT%
32.3
RPG
10.5
APG
9.0
TO
71.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1086 (#208) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1233 (#133) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1083 (#73) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +26.3 (#130) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +18.0 (#91) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.7 More → 0.619 (#85) NetEff +4.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 69.4 More → 0.637 (#83) AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 69.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.858 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.827 (#73) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 123 | GP 30 More → 1180 (#87) RD 123 | GP 30

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks L 94 - 99
2021-11-17 @ Sam Houston Bearkats W 77 - 55
2021-11-22 vs Long Beach State Beach W 92 - 66
2021-11-23 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 76 - 77
2021-12-01 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 74 - 79
2021-12-04 vs BYU Cougars L 68 - 74
2021-12-08 @ Little Rock Trojans W 81 - 55
2021-12-11 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 69 - 60
2021-12-15 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 75 - 63
2021-12-18 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 106 - 70
2021-12-22 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 58 - 75
2021-12-30 vs Evangel Crusaders W 103 - 56
2022-01-02 vs Drake Bulldogs W 61 - 56
2022-01-12 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 81 - 76
2022-01-15 @ Valparaiso Beacons W 74 - 57
2022-01-19 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 88 - 63
2022-01-22 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 79 - 69
2022-01-25 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 72 - 76
2022-01-29 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 72 - 58
2022-02-02 @ Southern Illinois Salukis W 69 - 54
2022-02-06 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 62 - 71
2022-02-09 @ Drake Bulldogs W 66 - 62
2022-02-12 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 84 - 66
2022-02-15 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 79 - 70
2022-02-20 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 75 - 95
2022-02-23 vs Bradley Braves W 83 - 67
2022-02-26 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 88 - 79
2022-03-04 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 67 - 58
2022-03-05 vs Drake Bulldogs L 78 - 79
2022-03-15 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 72 - 89

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
I. Mosley I. Mosley - 30 31.7 20.0 6.2 2.3 1.2 0.2 2.8 4.2 22.9 158 4.6 6.0 52.0 43.9 85.7 0.89 223.5 59.2
D. Wilson D. Wilson F 1 25.0 18.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 25.0 314 9.2 15.0 0 0 0 1.88 0 0
G. Prim G. Prim F 30 29.3 16.8 7.9 1.8 0.8 1.1 2.4 3.1 22.8 221 6.5 8.9 48.4 75.0 86.2 1.68 238.7 50.0
Jarren Cook Jarren Cook - 1 22.0 12.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 13.0 40 1.2 3.6 0 0 0 -0.03 0 0
D. Clay D. Clay - 30 32.9 8.9 6.3 1.9 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.8 15.9 - - - 52.8 61.5 80.0 1.67 223.2 60.4
J. Minnett J. Minnett G 29 20.6 8.5 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.7 1.9 9.5 108 3.4 6.6 40.0 36.4 66.7 0.51 219.3 54.5
S. Hemphill S. Hemphill F 3 30.0 8.0 3.3 0.3 1.3 1.0 1.3 2.0 10.7 93 2.9 4.5 83.3 0 100.0 0.44 174.4 83.3
J. Black J. Black - 30 27.8 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.5 1.2 10.6 177 5.2 7.2 30.6 30.8 100.0 0.83 315.1 41.7
T. Murphy T. Murphy F 3 30.3 7.7 5.3 0.3 1.3 1.0 0.3 1.7 13.7 214 5.9 8.4 20.0 0.0 0.0 1.42 211.4 20.0
L. Patterson L. Patterson - 30 26.5 7.3 2.9 2.1 0.6 0.3 1.0 1.3 10.9 109 3.2 5.0 63.2 25.0 71.4 0.24 232.9 64.5
D. Lampley D. Lampley G 1 33.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 180 5.5 8.0 0 0 0 1.06 0 0
S. Wilbar S. Wilbar - 2 15.0 6.5 3.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 12.5 -49 -1.8 -6.2 0 0 0 -0.39 0 0
M. Johnson M. Johnson G 1 21.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 239 6.5 13.5 0 0 0 1.7 0 0
D. Sharp D. Sharp - 6 21.8 5.7 4.0 3.8 0.8 0.2 1.3 0.5 12.7 28 3.5 6.9 100.0 0 50.0 0.29 438.1 100.0
M. Howell M. Howell G 1 23.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 -56 -1.8 -3.5 0 0 0 0.3 0 0
J. Grant J. Grant G 1 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 91 3.1 12.7 0 0 0 0.85 0 0
I. Haney I. Haney G 28 16.4 4.0 2.5 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.8 0.6 6.4 133 4.2 10.5 33.3 28.6 100.0 0.96 294.0 38.9
K. Hervey K. Hervey - 13 17.4 3.8 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.4 1.3 5.0 8 0.5 1.2 47.1 50.0 100.0 -0.35 139.8 58.8
A. Mason A. Mason G 1 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4 0.2 1.4 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0
N. Tata N. Tata F 7 6.0 2.3 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.9 3 0.4 2.6 60.0 50.0 0.0 -0.05 147.1 70.0
F. Lacis F. Lacis F 1 26.0 2.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 8.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
E. Lufile E. Lufile F 1 6.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 131 4.7 11.6 0 0 0 1.07 0 0
D. Carper D. Carper - 25 6.0 1.4 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 2.8 - - - 66.7 0 0.0 -0.5 279.5 66.7
K. Martina K. Martina F 1 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1 0.1 0.6 0 0 0 -0.08 0 0
M. Ebonkoli M. Ebonkoli F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
S. Wicks S. Wicks G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
K. Karwowski K. Karwowski C 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 35 1.1 4.4 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0
L. Bockler L. Bockler G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 14 1.2 11.2 0 0 0 0.02 0 0
M. Ekono M. Ekono G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14 1.0 10.8 0 0 0 0.24 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG