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Mississippi State

Also known as: Mississippi State Bulldogs, Mississippi State
Program History

2021 Team Stats (7 games)

64.7
PPG
69.3
Opp
-3.3
Margin
41.5%
FG%
25.0%
3P%
76.1%
FT%
41.6
RPG
10.9
APG
15.3
TO
80.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1403 (#47) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1430 (#38) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +35.2 (#41) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.258 (#75) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.8 More → 0.210 (#56) NetEff -10.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.8 More → 0.478 (#66) AdjNet -0.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.9 More → 0.473 (#66) AdjNet -0.9

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-26 vs Liberty Flames L 73 - 84
2020-11-30 vs Texas State Bobcats W 68 - 51
2021-01-05 vs Missouri Tigers W 78 - 63
2021-01-23 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 73 - 81
2021-01-26 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 53 - 56
2021-02-27 vs Alabama Crimson Tide L 59 - 64
2021-03-11 @ Kentucky Wildcats W 74 - 73
2021-03-12 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 48 - 85
2021-03-25 @ Richmond Spiders W 68 - 67

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
I. Molinar I. Molinar G 7 32.4 17.6 3.4 1.1 0.7 0.1 2.0 12.9 8.1 - - - 42.2 38.9 88.0 - 60.9 46.1
D.J. Stewart Jr. D.J. Stewart Jr. G 9 34.8 17.2 2.9 3.8 1.6 0.2 3.8 11.4 10.4 40 4.0 6.0 40.8 26.7 91.3 0.41 68.5 44.7
E. Cuffee E. Cuffee G 1 34.0 17.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 23.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Smith T. Smith - 8 31.0 12.2 8.2 0.9 0.8 0.5 2.8 6.2 13.6 21 2.3 8.1 54.0 0 75.0 0.19 76.5 54.0
C. Parker C. Parker G 1 36.0 10.0 1.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 21.0 23 2.6 4.0 0 0 0 0.34 0 0
M. Abii M. Abii F 1 20.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Ado A. Ado F 9 28.8 8.2 7.8 0.8 0.4 2.4 1.2 3.6 14.9 - - - 62.5 0 70.6 - 93.7 62.5
K. McDowell K. McDowell G 1 19.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Smith D. Smith G 9 23.8 4.2 3.8 3.3 0.8 0.4 1.6 4.3 6.7 89 9.9 11.2 23.1 14.3 66.7 0.79 45.6 25.6
J. Johnson J. Johnson F 6 15.7 3.8 2.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 3.3 3.0 34 3.8 9.0 30.0 26.7 0 0.53 57.5 40.0
Quinten Post Quinten Post - 7 9.6 2.7 3.1 0.7 0.3 0.9 1.0 3.3 3.4 - - - 30.4 25.0 66.7 - 39.1 37.0
Derek Fountain Derek Fountain - 5 19.8 2.6 2.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.6 2.0 2.2 - - - 40.0 20.0 50.0 - 59.7 45.0
Cameron Matthews Cameron Matthews F 9 17.7 2.2 2.4 0.9 0.7 0.2 1.0 1.8 3.7 - - - 43.8 0.0 40.0 - 54.9 43.8
J. Davis J. Davis - 8 11.6 2.2 3.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 3.6 111 5.0 8.4 46.2 33.3 0.0 1.11 64.8 50.0
K. Montgomery K. Montgomery - 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Andersson Garcia Andersson Garcia F 3 4.0 1.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.3 1.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 50.0 - 31.7 28.6
R. Morris R. Morris G 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG