Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.9% | 72.1% | +5.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +15 (78-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Smith * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Ma. Smith * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Tilmon Jr. * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| X. Pinson * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| K. Brown * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Mi. Smith | 22 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Pickett | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Buggs | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Braun | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Molinar | 34 | 7-16 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | - |
| A. Ado | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| D. Smith | 24 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Q. Post | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D.J. Stewart Jr. * | 37 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 16 | - |
| T. Smith * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Matthews | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter