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Alabama Crimson Tide 64
@
Mississippi State Bulldogs 59
2021-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 72.2% 27.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 59.8% 40.2% - ✓
Margin 72.1% 27.9% -5.2 ✓ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 71.8% 28.2% - ✓
Efficiency 93.1% 6.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 86.3% 13.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 86.6% 13.4% - ✓

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -5 (59-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Jones * 34 1-9 0-3 0-0 14 2 2 0 2 2 9 -
J. Petty Jr. * 33 2-9 1-6 4-4 5 2 1 1 2 9 7 -
J. Shackelford * 31 5-14 1-5 4-5 6 0 0 0 0 15 7 -
K. Ellis * 21 0-3 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
J. Bruner * 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 1 0 0 4 -
J. Quinerly 27 8-16 3-6 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 19 5 -
J. Rojas 14 2-4 1-2 4-4 6 0 1 1 1 9 12 -
A. Reese 9 1-5 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
J. Primo 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Gary 6 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 2 0 3 3 1 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Post 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Davis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Matthews 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Smith * 35 6-9 0-0 0-2 13 0 1 0 4 12 13 -
I. Molinar * 35 5-15 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 1 4 11 -1 -
D.J. Stewart Jr. * 34 4-12 0-3 7-9 1 4 1 1 4 15 6 -
A. Ado * 29 4-6 0-0 1-2 9 1 1 4 1 9 17 -
J. Johnson * 20 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
D. Smith 20 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 4 2 0 0 2 5 -
D. Fountain 19 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter