Mississippi State Bulldogs
2026 Team Stats (29 games)
75.3
PPG
68.2
Opp
+7.1
Margin
43.6%
FG%
31.7%
3P%
72.5%
FT%
42.2
RPG
14.1
APG
15.4
TO
87.5
Pace
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 972 (#451) | HCA +113 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +28.6 (#47) | HCA +2.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.655 (#90) | AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 63.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.919 (#56) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.885 (#67) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1145 (#102) | RD 156 | GP 29 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Francis
|
F | 29 | 29.3 | 13.3 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 11.3 | 12.3 | 63 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 45.4 | 27.8 | 70.6 | 1.63 | 51.6 | 47.7 |
F. Nwaedozi
|
F | 29 | 26.3 | 12.2 | 10.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 9.0 | 14.7 | 40 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 52.9 | 0.0 | 68.4 | 1.6 | 56.9 | 52.9 |
K. Richardson
|
F | 28 | 22.8 | 9.7 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 8.0 | 5.7 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 43.0 | 33.3 | 76.6 | -0.89 | 51.3 | 44.6 |
D. McPhaul
|
G | 29 | 27.9 | 9.1 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 8.0 | 7.1 | 83 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 41.6 | 30.9 | 76.1 | 3.84 | 51.9 | 48.9 |
T. Crisp
|
G | 28 | 27.6 | 9.0 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 5.7 | 43 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 38.3 | 37.1 | 85.4 | -0.48 | 55.0 | 50.7 |
J. Lampley
|
G | 28 | 20.4 | 8.4 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 6.8 | 6.3 | 84 | 3.5 | 7.2 | 50.3 | 37.5 | 53.3 | 2.39 | 57.5 | 57.3 |
C. Prater
|
G | 28 | 21.7 | 7.9 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 6.9 | 7.3 | 37 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 41.2 | 33.3 | 83.7 | -0.82 | 51.5 | 46.6 |
A. Fane
|
G | 21 | 10.6 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 1.8 | -6 | -0.4 | -1.7 | 37.9 | 35.1 | 61.5 | -0.51 | 49.5 | 47.7 |
S. King
|
G | 25 | 13.6 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 1.1 | -87 | -4.6 | -12.8 | 28.2 | 12.5 | 92.3 | -4.07 | 35.8 | 30.8 |
N. Gray
|
F | 17 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 19 | 1.5 | 17.8 | 38.2 | 14.3 | 53.8 | 0.9 | 45.1 | 39.7 |
M. Guillet
|
G | 9 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 11.1 | 100.0 | -2.71 | 37.0 | 32.1 |
F. Wylder
|
C | 7 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 5 | 0.7 | 4.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 80.0 | -0.95 | 48.8 | 33.3 |
R. Jimenez
|
C | 13 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 34.9 | 35.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG