Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.4% | 96.6% | +24.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +29.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +35 (79-44). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Rust * | 38 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mikayla Johnson * | 31 | 3-17 | 0-5 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -5 | - |
| Fatima Diakhate * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Theresa Hagans Jr. * | 26 | 0-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Amiya Jenkins * | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Carla Viegas | 16 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jayda Queeley | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Megan Hollingsworth | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Angela Le Faou | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Macie Arzner | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Francis * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Destiney McPhaul * | 22 | 8-13 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Trayanna Crisp * | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Chandler Prater * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Favour Nwaedozi * | 18 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Saniyah King | 22 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jaylah Lampley | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Kharyssa Richardson | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Awa Fane | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Jimenez | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.2 |
| Nataliyah Gray | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter