🐻⬇️🏀

Minnesota

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Minnesota Golden Gophers, Minnesota
Program History
Coach: Richard Pitino

2021 Team Stats (15 games)

68.3
PPG
72.9
Opp
-4.6
Margin
38.5%
FG%
29.4%
3P%
71.2%
FT%
36.0
RPG
13.7
APG
11.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.0
Adj PPG
67.7
Adj Opp PPG
#66
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1065 (#130) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1064 (#126) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More → 922 (#280) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More → +10.5 (#59) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → +6.0 (#99) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.473 (#183) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.9 More → 0.816 (#64) AdjNet +12.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.1 More → 0.820 (#64) AdjNet +13.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 67.7 More → 0.679 (#66) AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 67.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.482 (#179) AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 70.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.607 (#111) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.567 (#123) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 131 | GP 29 More → 1019 (#147) RD 131 | GP 29

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-25 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 99 - 69
2020-11-28 vs Loyola Marymount Lions W 88 - 73
2020-11-30 vs Loyola Marymount Lions W 67 - 64
2020-12-04 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 76 - 67
2020-12-08 vs Boston College Eagles W 85 - 80
2020-12-10 vs Kansas City Roos W 90 - 61
2020-12-15 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 65 - 92
2020-12-20 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 90 - 82
2020-12-25 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 102 - 95
2020-12-28 vs Michigan State Spartans W 81 - 56
2020-12-31 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 59 - 71
2021-01-03 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 77 - 60
2021-01-06 @ Michigan Wolverines L 57 - 82
2021-01-10 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 71 - 86
2021-01-16 vs Michigan Wolverines W 75 - 57
2021-01-20 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers - Postponed
2021-01-23 vs Maryland Terrapins L 49 - 63
2021-01-30 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 62 - 81
2021-02-04 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 72 - 76
2021-02-08 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 79 - 61
2021-02-11 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 71 - 68
2021-02-14 @ Maryland Terrapins L 59 - 72
2021-02-17 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 72 - 82
2021-02-20 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 63 - 94
2021-02-25 vs Northwestern Wildcats L 59 - 67
2021-02-27 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 74 - 78
2021-03-03 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 65 - 84
2021-03-06 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 70 - 77
2021-03-10 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 51 - 46
2021-03-11 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 75 - 79

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marcus Carr Marcus Carr G 28 35.7 19.1 4.0 4.8 1.3 0.1 2.3 10.0 17.1 -67 26 -2.6 -2.9 36.4 33.1 77.5 0.04 80.4 43.6
Liam Robbins Liam Robbins - 22 25.0 11.8 6.5 1.0 0.6 2.7 1.7 6.1 15.0 -9 20 -0.5 -0.8 44.4 35.0 65.1 0.11 79.9 49.6
Gabe Kalscheur Gabe Kalscheur G 20 31.0 9.2 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.1 1.4 5.8 7.6 30 18 1.7 2.3 32.5 27.1 88.5 1.23 72.0 40.6
Brandon Johnson Brandon Johnson F 27 26.0 8.9 6.3 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.7 4.3 12.3 -11 25 -0.4 -0.7 47.9 27.3 70.6 3.28 86.1 51.7
Jamal Mashburn Jamal Mashburn G 28 22.5 8.4 1.6 1.6 0.4 0.1 1.1 5.3 5.7 -37 26 -1.4 -2.6 31.8 28.6 80.0 1.15 72.9 37.2
Both Gach Both Gach G 28 22.3 6.4 3.6 1.8 0.5 0.1 1.6 3.6 7.1 43 26 1.7 2.9 33.3 21.3 70.8 2.5 80.0 38.2
Tre' Williams Tre' Williams G 26 18.8 5.8 2.5 1.1 0.7 0.2 1.0 3.5 5.7 -125 24 -5.2 -10.9 42.9 39.0 25.0 -3.39 78.9 51.6
Eric Curry Eric Curry F 28 16.0 3.6 3.1 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.9 1.9 5.9 -31 26 -1.2 -2.9 42.6 25.0 66.7 -0.13 84.2 45.4
David Mutaf David Mutaf G 3 3.0 3.3 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.3 - - - - 66.7 50.0 0 0.74 166.7 83.3
Isaiah Ihnen Isaiah Ihnen F 28 14.3 2.9 3.6 0.6 0.3 0.8 0.5 1.6 6.1 -14 26 -0.5 -1.5 26.7 12.9 83.3 1.46 86.1 31.1
Martice Mitchell Martice Mitchell F 7 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 9 5 1.8 21.5 100.0 100.0 0 -0.07 150.0 116.7
Sam Freeman Sam Freeman - 17 7.3 1.1 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 2.1 -27 17 -1.6 -9.2 50.0 0 50.0 -1.61 64.9 50.0
Jarvis Omersa Jarvis Omersa F 6 8.8 1.0 2.2 0.5 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 4.8 33 7 4.7 19.6 100.0 0 0 1.26 150.0 100.0
Hunt Conroy Hunt Conroy G 3 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.89 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG