Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.0% | 13.0% | -14.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.6% | 13.4% | -10.3 | ✓ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -31 (63-94). Ratings: 2020-21 season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 32 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Trent Frazier * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Kofi Cockburn * | 24 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Adam Miller * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jacob Grandison * | 21 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Da'Monte Williams | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Giorgi Bezhanishvili | 11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Andre Curbelo | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine Hamlin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Coleman Hawkins | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Benjamin Bosmans-Verdonk | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Underwood | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Connor Serven | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Lieb | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn Jr. * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Tre' Williams * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Carr * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Johnson * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Liam Robbins * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Both Gach | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sam Freeman | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Ihnen | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Eric Curry | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Martice Mitchell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter