Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.6% | 17.4% | -8.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -31 (63-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dosunmu * | 32 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| T. Frazier * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 24 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| A. Miller * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Grandison * | 21 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| D. Williams | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili | 11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Hamlin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Bosmans-Verdonk | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Underwood | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Serven | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Lieb | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mashburn Jr. * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | - |
| T. Williams * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| M. Carr * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| B. Johnson * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| L. Robbins * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Gach | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Freeman | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| I. Ihnen | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| E. Curry | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Mitchell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter