Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.0% | 25.0% | -6.0 | ✗ (31.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers +25 (81-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Henry | 28 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| R. Watts | 23 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | - |
| J. Langford | 21 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Kithier | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| F. Loyer | 18 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| G. Brown | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Marble | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hoiberg | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Hauser * | 21 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Hall | 20 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Hoggard | 15 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Sissoko | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Carr * | 33 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| B. Johnson * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| L. Robbins * | 25 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| G. Kalscheur * | 23 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| B. Gach * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Mashburn Jr. | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Williams | 17 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| E. Curry | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| I. Ihnen | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Mutaf | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Freeman | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Mitchell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Conroy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter