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Michigan

Also known as: Michigan Wolverines
Program History

2012 Team Stats (6 games)

62.2
PPG
68.8
Opp
-6.7
Margin
42.1%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
72.8%
FT%
31.0
RPG
11.2
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.3
Adj PPG
51.2
Adj Opp PPG
#44
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1124 (#99) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1209 (#50) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More โ†’ 991 (#177) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +15.7 (#44) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +10.6 (#68) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.700 (#98) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.4 More โ†’ 0.944 (#45) AdjNet +24.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.9 More โ†’ 0.947 (#45) AdjNet +24.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 51.2 More โ†’ 0.783 (#44) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 51.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 56.3 More โ†’ 0.588 (#96) AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 56.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.772 (#61) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.738 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 122 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1121 (#93) RD 122 | GP 32

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Florida Gators W 69 - 66
2011-11-14 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 73 - 51
2011-11-17 vs Utah Utes W 55 - 50
2011-11-20 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 51 - 47
2011-11-24 @ Prairie View A&M Lady Panthers W 59 - 53
2011-11-25 @ Washington State Cougars W 69 - 39
2011-11-26 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 71 - 51
2011-11-30 @ Maryland Terrapins L 65 - 74
2011-12-04 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 56 - 49
2011-12-08 @ Detroit Mercy Titans W 61 - 51
2011-12-11 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 64 - 77
2011-12-17 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 72 - 44
2011-12-22 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 76 - 59
2011-12-30 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 70 - 50
2012-01-04 @ Michigan State Spartans L 55 - 60
2012-01-07 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 73 - 62
2012-01-12 @ Penn State Lady Lions L 63 - 78
2012-01-15 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 61 - 57
2012-01-19 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 58 - 48
2012-01-22 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 66 - 48
2012-01-26 vs Penn State Lady Lions L 56 - 77
2012-01-30 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 60 - 66
2012-02-02 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 79 - 68
2012-02-05 vs Michigan State Spartans L 63 - 65
2012-02-09 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 63 - 52
2012-02-16 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 57 - 58
2012-02-19 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 61 - 48
2012-02-23 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 49 - 60
2012-02-26 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 71 - 79
2012-03-01 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 68 - 53
2012-03-02 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 48 - 57
2012-03-18 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 67 - 88

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Boylan C. Boylan NA 6 0.0 13.0 4.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 2.0 12.0 5.8 46 22 2.1 2.6 45.8 20.0 66.7 2.47 49.6 47.2
C. Reynolds C. Reynolds NA 6 0.0 12.7 3.8 1.2 0.7 0.3 1.5 8.8 8.3 90 22 4.1 6.3 49.1 54.8 77.8 5.63 66.7 65.1
R. Sheffer R. Sheffer NA 6 0.0 10.7 4.0 0.7 0.2 0.8 2.5 7.3 6.5 19 22 0.9 1.4 50.0 44.4 84.2 0.52 61.1 54.5
N. Jordan N. Jordan NA 4 0.0 7.2 6.5 2.5 0.8 0.0 2.8 5.8 8.5 19 22 0.9 2.0 34.8 50.0 68.8 -0.99 48.3 39.1
J. Ryan J. Ryan NA 6 0.0 4.3 6.5 3.5 2.0 0.3 2.0 5.3 9.3 49 22 2.2 2.7 34.4 16.7 66.7 1.44 39.0 37.5
N. Elmblad N. Elmblad G 1 0.0 3.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 4.0 -17 21 -0.8 -3.4 14.3 100.0 0 -1.52 21.4 21.4
S. King S. King G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.21 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG