Michigan
2012 Team Stats (6 games)
62.2
PPG
68.8
Opp
-6.7
Margin
42.1%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
72.8%
FT%
31.0
RPG
11.2
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.3
Adj PPG
51.2
Adj Opp PPG
#44
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1124 (#99) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1209 (#50) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 991 (#177) | HCA +78 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +15.7 (#44) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +10.6 (#68) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.700 (#98) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.944 (#45) | AdjNet +24.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.947 (#45) | AdjNet +24.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.783 (#44) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 51.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.588 (#96) | AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 56.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.772 (#61) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.738 (#69) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1121 (#93) | RD 122 | GP 32 |
2012 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-11-11 | @ | Florida Gators | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2011-11-14 | vs | Florida Atlantic Owls | W | 73 - 51 |
| 2011-11-17 | vs | Utah Utes | W | 55 - 50 |
| 2011-11-20 | @ | Seton Hall Pirates | W | 51 - 47 |
| 2011-11-24 | @ | Prairie View A&M Lady Panthers | W | 59 - 53 |
| 2011-11-25 | @ | Washington State Cougars | W | 69 - 39 |
| 2011-11-26 | vs | Marquette Golden Eagles | W | 71 - 51 |
| 2011-11-30 | @ | Maryland Terrapins | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2011-12-04 | vs | Iowa State Cyclones | W | 56 - 49 |
| 2011-12-08 | @ | Detroit Mercy Titans | W | 61 - 51 |
| 2011-12-11 | @ | Eastern Michigan Eagles | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2011-12-17 | vs | Indiana State Sycamores | W | 72 - 44 |
| 2011-12-22 | vs | Illinois State Redbirds | W | 76 - 59 |
| 2011-12-30 | @ | Illinois Fighting Illini | W | 70 - 50 |
| 2012-01-04 | @ | Michigan State Spartans | L | 55 - 60 |
| 2012-01-07 | vs | Ohio State Buckeyes | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2012-01-12 | @ | Penn State Lady Lions | L | 63 - 78 |
| 2012-01-15 | vs | Minnesota Golden Gophers | W | 61 - 57 |
| 2012-01-19 | @ | Northwestern Wildcats | W | 58 - 48 |
| 2012-01-22 | vs | Indiana Hoosiers | W | 66 - 48 |
| 2012-01-26 | vs | Penn State Lady Lions | L | 56 - 77 |
| 2012-01-30 | @ | Wisconsin Badgers | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2012-02-02 | vs | Northwestern Wildcats | W | 79 - 68 |
| 2012-02-05 | vs | Michigan State Spartans | L | 63 - 65 |
| 2012-02-09 | @ | Nebraska Cornhuskers | W | 63 - 52 |
| 2012-02-16 | vs | Iowa Hawkeyes | L | 57 - 58 |
| 2012-02-19 | @ | Indiana Hoosiers | W | 61 - 48 |
| 2012-02-23 | vs | Purdue Boilermakers | L | 49 - 60 |
| 2012-02-26 | @ | Iowa Hawkeyes | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2012-03-01 | vs | Illinois Fighting Illini | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2012-03-02 | @ | Ohio State Buckeyes | L | 48 - 57 |
| 2012-03-18 | @ | Oklahoma Sooners | L | 67 - 88 |
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C. Boylan
|
NA | 6 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 5.8 | 46 | 22 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 45.8 | 20.0 | 66.7 | 2.47 | 49.6 | 47.2 |
C. Reynolds
|
NA | 6 | 0.0 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 8.3 | 90 | 22 | 4.1 | 6.3 | 49.1 | 54.8 | 77.8 | 5.63 | 66.7 | 65.1 |
R. Sheffer
|
NA | 6 | 0.0 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 7.3 | 6.5 | 19 | 22 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 50.0 | 44.4 | 84.2 | 0.52 | 61.1 | 54.5 |
N. Jordan
|
NA | 4 | 0.0 | 7.2 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 5.8 | 8.5 | 19 | 22 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 34.8 | 50.0 | 68.8 | -0.99 | 48.3 | 39.1 |
J. Ryan
|
NA | 6 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 5.3 | 9.3 | 49 | 22 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 34.4 | 16.7 | 66.7 | 1.44 | 39.0 | 37.5 |
N. Elmblad
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | -17 | 21 | -0.8 | -3.4 | 14.3 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.52 | 21.4 | 21.4 |
S. King
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.21 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG