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Mercer

2007 Team Stats (4 games)

71.8
PPG
80.8
Opp
-9.0
Margin
41.9%
FG%
37.0%
3P%
75.9%
FT%
35.5
RPG
11.8
APG
17.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.0
Adj PPG
77.5
Adj Opp PPG
#298
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2006-2007
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 770 (#291) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 872 (#253) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +118 elo More โ†’ 954 (#230) HCA +118 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -11.3 (#300) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -13.8 (#319) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.277 (#260) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -16.6 More โ†’ 0.128 (#298) AdjNet -16.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -16.8 More โ†’ 0.125 (#299) AdjNet -16.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 77.5 More โ†’ 0.278 (#298) AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 77.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 77.5 More โ†’ 0.301 (#314) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 77.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.245 (#291) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.249 (#295) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 156 | GP 27 More โ†’ 850 (#263) RD 156 | GP 27

2007 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2006-11-12 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 48 - 72
2006-11-14 @ Savannah State Tigers L 61 - 71
2006-11-18 vs Emory Eagles W 89 - 71
2006-11-27 vs Georgia Southern Eagles L 59 - 61
2006-11-30 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 70 - 76
2006-12-02 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 84 - 77
2006-12-04 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 78 - 59
2006-12-07 vs Fort Valley State Wildcats W 79 - 74
2006-12-09 @ VMI Keydets W 105 - 103
2006-12-21 @ Oregon State Beavers L 62 - 93
2006-12-23 @ Oregon Ducks L 64 - 84
2006-12-30 @ Furman Paladins L 69 - 83
2007-01-02 vs Stetson Hatters W 84 - 63
2007-01-07 @ Belmont Bruins L 47 - 72
2007-01-09 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 68 - 89
2007-01-13 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 94 - 93
2007-01-15 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 85 - 74
2007-01-18 @ Jacksonville Dolphins L 77 - 87
2007-01-20 @ North Florida Ospreys W 77 - 58
2007-01-24 vs Savannah State Tigers W 68 - 64
2007-01-26 @ Stetson Hatters W 78 - 66
2007-02-01 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 50 - 62
2007-02-08 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 68 - 69
2007-02-10 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 81 - 80
2007-02-16 vs Jacksonville Dolphins L 97 - 101
2007-02-18 vs North Florida Ospreys W 69 - 59
2007-02-22 @ Kennesaw State Owls L 51 - 87
2007-02-24 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 89 - 112
2007-03-01 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 49 - 85

2007 Roster

No roster data available for this season.