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2006-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% -
Bradley-Terry 20.6% 79.4% -
Margin 9.2% 90.8% +12.6 (18.4 off)
Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers +31 (93-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Florence 28 4-13 2-5 1-2 1 1 3 0 7 11 -4 -
C. Henry 28 5-10 0-1 2-3 8 5 0 1 1 12 15 -
S. Aaron 27 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 2 -1 -
S. Dolan 24 6-10 0-0 1-3 6 0 0 0 2 13 7 -
B. Corley 16 4-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 9 7 -
H. Pervan 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
B. Walker 12 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
I. Gordon 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
B. Pfohl 12 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
R. Alacqua 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A.J. Martin 6 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
M. Slonaker 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
H. Little 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Cuic 23 2-8 1-4 8-8 2 0 0 0 2 13 5 -
J. Tarver 23 1-6 0-1 2-2 4 4 2 1 2 4 7 -
M. Jones 22 6-14 1-2 2-3 4 2 2 0 1 15 8 -
W. Washington 20 2-3 0-0 7-8 5 5 1 0 2 11 17 -
S. Tarver 18 4-6 0-0 0-2 0 5 1 0 1 8 7 -
K. Jeffers 18 4-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 2 8 11 -
M. Johnson 17 1-2 0-0 2-2 12 2 0 0 0 4 16 -
J. McGillis 16 3-6 1-2 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 7 3 -
R. Schaftenaar 15 5-5 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 12 9 -
A. Tsagarakis 13 3-5 2-4 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
L. Hughes 7 1-3 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. McConnell 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
V. Svilar 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 -

* = starter