Menlo
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 866 (#393) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 785 (#526) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 813 (#591) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.5 (#238) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.7 (#447) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.328 (#426) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.984 (#109) | NetEff +37.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.513 (#415) | AdjNet +0.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.523 (#408) | AdjNet +0.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.526 (#397) | AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 75.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.344 (#511) | AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 76.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.246 (#509) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.250 (#516) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 710 (#502) | RD 107 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | UC Davis | L | 69 - 96 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Central Wash. | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Western Ore. | L | 57 - 76 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Stanislaus St. | L | 74 - 78 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Cal St. Monterey Bay | L | 76 - 86 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | San Fran. St. | L | 60 - 67 |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Azusa Pacific | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Vanguard | L | 69 - 73 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Westmont | L | 71 - 90 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Jessup | L | 70 - 78 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Dominican (CA) | L | 72 - 78 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Point Loma | L | 51 - 74 |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | CUI | W | 75 - 68 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Hawaii Pacific | L | 72 - 83 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Chaminade | L | 85 - 88 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | L | 69 - 82 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Jessup | L | 67 - 72 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Fresno Pacific | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2026-01-26 | @ | Dominican (CA) | L | 76 - 83 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | CUI | L | 66 - 78 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Point Loma | L | 68 - 91 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Biola | L | 60 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Best | - | 1 | 35.5 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | -11 | -0.6 | -3.2 | 58.3 | 100.0 | 75.0 | 0.06 | 70.9 | 66.7 |
| Casey Steadmon | - | 1 | 16.4 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 13 | 1.1 | 38.9 | 80.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.79 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Joshua West | - | 1 | 29.7 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 115 | 6.4 | 68.2 | 46.7 | 45.5 | 0 | 3.23 | 63.3 | 63.3 |
| Kai Brown | - | 12 | 29.5 | 12.9 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 9.8 | 7.9 | -83 | -6.9 | -17.8 | 42.4 | 34.9 | 67.8 | 0.26 | 53.8 | 48.7 |
| Jamaal Unuakhalu | - | 16 | 24.8 | 12.6 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 9.4 | 10.9 | -6 | -0.3 | -4.6 | 54.3 | 40.0 | 81.8 | -1.29 | 60.7 | 57.6 |
| Quentin Meza | - | 1 | 30.9 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 28 | 9.3 | 15.2 | 41.7 | 14.3 | 33.3 | 2.08 | 45.0 | 45.8 |
| Nick High | - | 22 | 28.2 | 11.4 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 8.4 | 7.9 | -147 | -6.1 | -32.8 | 53.5 | 35.7 | 91.5 | -0.23 | 61.0 | 56.2 |
| Sargent Jeffery | - | 1 | 13.8 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 47 | 2.6 | 26.2 | 55.6 | 0 | 100.0 | 3.3 | 58.3 | 55.6 |
| Nick Medeiros | - | 1 | 36.3 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 57 | 3.0 | 16.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 63.6 | 1.12 | 55.9 | 40.0 |
| Jorge Ochoa | - | 1 | 26.3 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 58 | 3.1 | 23.1 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 50.0 | 1.24 | 51.1 | 50.0 |
| Stephen Ransom | - | 1 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.14 | 53.6 | 50.0 |
| Quentin Thompson | - | 22 | 20.0 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 6.3 | 5.6 | -32 | -1.5 | -10.0 | 52.9 | 23.1 | 62.1 | 2.56 | 57.5 | 55.1 |
| Devon Woods | - | 20 | 30.3 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 8.6 | 3.5 | -105 | -5.2 | -23.3 | 36.0 | 24.1 | 78.0 | -4.14 | 43.8 | 38.1 |
| Josh Niusulu | - | 1 | 27.7 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -2.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.02 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Omari Davis | - | 1 | 11.2 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | -25 | -1.9 | -21.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -2.57 | 121.5 | 125.0 |
| Michael Wilson | - | 1 | 30.7 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 13 | 0.7 | 4.1 | 37.5 | 20.0 | 0 | 2.49 | 43.8 | 43.8 |
| Luke Wieskamp | - | 22 | 24.1 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 6.3 | -127 | -5.8 | -35.7 | 43.2 | 39.4 | 68.3 | -1.42 | 54.4 | 50.0 |
| Jonathan Moxie | - | 20 | 21.5 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 2.5 | -74 | -3.7 | -40.4 | 35.6 | 27.1 | 68.0 | 0.64 | 45.2 | 41.8 |
| Zane Gaul | - | 1 | 10.9 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 40 | 2.4 | 50.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.72 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Jalen Keago | - | 8 | 13.8 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 1.5 | -7 | -1.0 | -11.6 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 72.2 | -1.75 | 46.1 | 36.7 |
| Marvin Brumfield | - | 18 | 13.3 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | -20 | -1.1 | -28.7 | 34.8 | 17.1 | 81.5 | 1.54 | 47.0 | 39.1 |
| Maj Dusanic | - | 1 | 17.6 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 47 | 2.8 | 32.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Quinton McCullough | - | 1 | 18.7 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 28 | 1.6 | 25.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.72 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Salim Arikat | - | 18 | 7.9 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.7 | 41.9 | 90.0 | -0.32 | 64.8 | 61.1 |
| Austin Johnson | - | 1 | 12.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.23 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Max Sheridan | - | 16 | 8.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 15 | 0.9 | 21.6 | 45.5 | 31.6 | 60.0 | 0.43 | 56.1 | 54.5 |
| Meek Ater | - | 7 | 6.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 18 | 3.0 | 164.9 | 42.9 | 0 | 83.3 | 0.23 | 57.1 | 42.9 |
| Jamison Beesley | - | 21 | 10.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 10 | 0.5 | 10.1 | 35.3 | 26.7 | 71.4 | 1.15 | 44.5 | 41.2 |
| Luke Ortiz | - | 1 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -22 | -1.6 | -26.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.94 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Kingston Matin | - | 3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.8 | 37.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.83 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Darrin Lum | - | 4 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | -0.2 | 6 | 1.5 | 75.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.83 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kahiau Bruhn | - | 1 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| J Marxen | - | 1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nemanja Sarenac | - | 1 | 13.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 13 | 0.8 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.04 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kemp Van Es | - | 1 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -14 | -2.8 | -200.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Nanik Tagore | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mo Toure | - | 1 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -32 | -1.8 | -34.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.31 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| JJ Barker | - | 1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -97 | -4.4 | -44.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.97 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG