🐻⬇️🏀

Menlo

Also known as: Menlo
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 866 (#393) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 785 (#526) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 813 (#591) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -0.5 (#238) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -8.7 (#447) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.328 (#426) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +37.0 More → 0.984 (#109) NetEff +37.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.5 More → 0.513 (#415) AdjNet +0.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.8 More → 0.523 (#408) AdjNet +0.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 75.1 More → 0.526 (#397) AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 75.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 76.5 More → 0.344 (#511) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 76.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.246 (#509) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.250 (#516) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 24 More → 707 (#496) RD 107 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ UC Davis L 69 - 96
2025-11-14 vs Central Wash. L 68 - 80
2025-11-15 @ Western Ore. L 57 - 76
2025-11-19 vs Stanislaus St. L 74 - 78
2025-11-22 @ Cal St. East Bay L 65 - 78
2025-11-28 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay L 76 - 86
2025-11-29 vs San Fran. St. L 60 - 67
2025-12-02 @ Azusa Pacific W 71 - 63
2025-12-04 @ Vanguard L 69 - 73
2025-12-06 @ Westmont L 71 - 90
2025-12-16 vs Jessup L 70 - 78
2025-12-21 vs Dominican (CA) L 72 - 78
2026-01-03 vs Point Loma L 51 - 74
2026-01-05 vs CUI W 75 - 68
2026-01-08 vs Hawaii Pacific L 72 - 83
2026-01-10 vs Hawaii Hilo W 79 - 70
2026-01-16 @ Chaminade L 85 - 88
2026-01-17 @ Hawaii Pacific L 69 - 82
2026-01-22 @ Jessup L 67 - 72
2026-01-24 vs Fresno Pacific L 66 - 70
2026-01-26 @ Dominican (CA) L 76 - 83
2026-02-03 @ CUI L 66 - 78
2026-02-05 @ Point Loma L 68 - 91
2026-02-07 @ Biola L 60 - 71

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Darius Best - 1 35.5 22.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 20.0 -11 -0.6 -3.2 58.3 100.0 75.0 0.06 70.9 66.7
Casey Steadmon - 1 16.4 20.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 17.0 13 1.1 38.9 80.0 100.0 0 -1.79 100.0 100.0
Joshua West - 1 29.7 19.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 10.0 115 6.4 68.2 46.7 45.5 0 3.23 63.3 63.3
Kai Brown - 12 29.5 12.9 3.1 2.7 1.1 0.4 2.4 9.8 7.9 -83 -6.9 -17.8 42.4 34.9 67.8 0.26 53.8 48.7
Jamaal Unuakhalu - 16 24.8 12.6 6.6 0.8 0.8 2.0 2.3 9.4 10.9 -6 -0.3 -4.6 54.3 40.0 81.8 -1.29 60.7 57.6
Quentin Meza - 1 30.9 12.0 1.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 9.0 28 9.3 15.2 41.7 14.3 33.3 2.08 45.0 45.8
Nick High - 22 28.2 11.4 5.3 0.8 0.7 0.8 2.6 8.4 7.9 -147 -6.1 -32.8 53.5 35.7 91.5 -0.23 61.0 56.2
Sargent Jeffery - 1 13.8 11.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 10.0 47 2.6 26.2 55.6 0 100.0 3.3 58.3 55.6
Nick Medeiros - 1 36.3 11.0 6.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 15.0 57 3.0 16.3 40.0 0.0 63.6 1.12 55.9 40.0
Jorge Ochoa - 1 26.3 11.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 5.0 58 3.1 23.1 33.3 75.0 50.0 1.24 51.1 50.0
Stephen Ransom - 1 25.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 8.0 11.0 4 0.2 1.7 50.0 0.0 66.7 -0.14 53.6 50.0
Quentin Thompson - 22 20.0 8.5 2.2 0.9 1.0 0.4 1.0 6.3 5.6 -32 -1.5 -10.0 52.9 23.1 62.1 2.56 57.5 55.1
Devon Woods - 20 30.3 8.5 2.1 3.5 0.8 0.0 2.9 8.6 3.5 -105 -5.2 -23.3 36.0 24.1 78.0 -4.14 43.8 38.1
Josh Niusulu - 1 27.7 7.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 5.0 -4 -0.2 -2.0 50.0 50.0 0 0.02 58.3 58.3
Omari Davis - 1 11.2 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 -25 -1.9 -21.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 -2.57 121.5 125.0
Michael Wilson - 1 30.7 7.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 4.0 13 0.7 4.1 37.5 20.0 0 2.49 43.8 43.8
Luke Wieskamp - 22 24.1 5.6 4.4 0.7 0.3 0.6 1.0 4.3 6.3 -127 -5.8 -35.7 43.2 39.4 68.3 -1.42 54.4 50.0
Jonathan Moxie - 20 21.5 5.2 2.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 2.5 5.2 2.5 -74 -3.7 -40.4 35.6 27.1 68.0 0.64 45.2 41.8
Zane Gaul - 1 10.9 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 40 2.4 50.1 100.0 100.0 0 0.72 125.0 125.0
Jalen Keago - 8 13.8 4.4 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.4 3.8 1.5 -7 -1.0 -11.6 33.3 20.0 72.2 -1.75 46.1 36.7
Marvin Brumfield - 18 13.3 4.2 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.0 3.8 2.2 -20 -1.1 -28.7 34.8 17.1 81.5 1.54 47.0 39.1
Maj Dusanic - 1 17.6 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 6.0 47 2.8 32.2 100.0 0 0 -0.1 100.0 100.0
Quinton McCullough - 1 18.7 4.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 28 1.6 25.8 50.0 0 0 0.72 50.0 50.0
Salim Arikat - 18 7.9 3.6 1.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 2.5 2.8 0 0.0 0.0 46.7 41.9 90.0 -0.32 64.8 61.1
Austin Johnson - 1 12.2 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 3 0.8 2.7 50.0 50.0 0 -0.23 75.0 75.0
Max Sheridan - 16 8.4 2.6 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.2 2.1 2.7 15 0.9 21.6 45.5 31.6 60.0 0.43 56.1 54.5
Meek Ater - 7 6.6 1.6 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 1.6 18 3.0 164.9 42.9 0 83.3 0.23 57.1 42.9
Jamison Beesley - 21 10.6 1.6 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.9 1.6 1.9 10 0.5 10.1 35.3 26.7 71.4 1.15 44.5 41.2
Luke Ortiz - 1 6.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -22 -1.6 -26.6 0.0 0 50.0 -2.94 26.6 0.0
Kingston Matin - 3 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 3 0.8 37.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.83 34.7 0.0
Darrin Lum - 4 2.2 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 -0.2 6 1.5 75.4 0.0 0.0 0 -0.83 0.0 0.0
Kahiau Bruhn - 1 6.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J Marxen - 1 1.6 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nemanja Sarenac - 1 13.1 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 13 0.8 10.9 0.0 0.0 0 -0.04 0.0 0.0
Kemp Van Es - 1 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -14 -2.8 -200.0 0 0 0 0.27 0 0
Nanik Tagore - 1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Mo Toure - 1 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 -32 -1.8 -34.7 0.0 0 0 1.31 0.0 0.0
JJ Barker - 1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -97 -4.4 -44.1 0 0 0 -2.97 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG