🐻⬇️🏀

Marshall Thundering Herd

Also known as: Marshall Thundering Herd
Program History

2025 Team Stats (9 games)

79.1
PPG
71.2
Opp
+2.8
Margin
44.2%
FG%
28.2%
3P%
71.5%
FT%
38.1
RPG
16.2
APG
12.4
TO
84.0
Pace
73.0
AdjO
74.1
AdjD
#174
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1126 (#82) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1012 (#170) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -1.3 (#180) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.587 (#121) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.582 (#122) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.5 More → 0.456 (#176) AdjNet -1.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.7 More → 0.452 (#177) AdjNet -1.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 74.1 More → 0.475 (#174) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 74.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-11 vs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles W 77 - 63
2024-11-16 vs Bellarmine Knights W 83 - 62
2024-11-23 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 45 - 80
2024-11-27 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 82 - 53
2024-11-30 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 82 - 90
2024-12-04 vs Morehead State Eagles W 80 - 77
2024-12-07 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 69 - 78
2024-12-11 @ Wright State Raiders L 79 - 88
2024-12-14 vs Ohio Bobcats W 79 - 70
2024-12-16 vs West Virginia Wesleyan Bobcats W 93 - 63
2024-12-28 @ Elon Phoenix L 59 - 73
2025-01-02 vs Texas State Bobcats W 77 - 71
2025-01-04 vs Troy Trojans L 57 - 58

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mikal Dawson Mikal Dawson G 13 26.8 13.4 2.8 1.4 1.4 0.2 1.2 10.1 7.9 52 1.7 2.1 45.8 41.1 85.0 -0.29 62.2 59.9
Obinna Anochili-Killen Obinna Anochili-Killen F 13 25.6 12.9 6.2 0.9 1.0 2.4 1.6 7.4 14.4 77 2.6 3.4 59.4 26.7 70.4 0.91 66.0 61.5
D. Mingo D. Mingo - 12 31.4 10.7 4.3 4.8 1.0 0.2 2.2 7.8 10.8 87 3.0 3.6 41.5 31.8 67.2 1.09 52.4 45.2
Nate Martin Nate Martin F 13 24.9 8.5 7.3 2.1 0.8 0.3 1.7 6.9 10.4 146 4.4 6.1 46.7 33.3 52.1 0.74 49.9 47.8
J. Speer J. Speer - 12 25.2 8.2 1.7 2.2 1.1 0.0 1.4 7.8 3.9 120 5.2 6.6 35.1 29.6 85.7 1.67 49.4 46.3
W. Fricks W. Fricks F 12 12.7 5.4 2.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 1.1 4.9 3.2 34 1.9 5.8 42.4 19.2 45.5 -0.18 47.3 46.6
Ryan Nutter Ryan Nutter G 13 18.3 4.9 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.1 1.0 4.3 4.0 -18 -1.3 -2.1 37.5 18.5 70.8 -0.39 48.1 42.0
Cade Gibbs Cade Gibbs F 13 14.0 4.4 2.4 0.4 1.2 0.2 0.7 3.9 3.9 -54 -3.9 -17.3 45.1 12.5 69.2 -0.12 50.2 47.1
W. Moore W. Moore G 9 8.0 3.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 4.0 -0.2 -6 -1.5 -22.2 33.3 25.9 0 -0.98 43.1 43.1
Jakob Gibbs Jakob Gibbs F 11 12.4 2.5 2.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.4 40 2.7 9.6 40.0 0.0 72.7 0.26 46.9 40.0
K. White K. White G 5 8.4 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.2 3.4 0.6 -15 -5.0 -53.1 23.5 18.2 100.0 -1.02 33.6 29.4
E. Harding E. Harding F 6 6.2 2.2 1.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.5 2.8 8 1.1 6.8 55.6 0 50.0 -0.41 55.8 55.6
C. Thieneman C. Thieneman G 1 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
K. Pruett K. Pruett G 2 4.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 0.5 - - - 25.0 25.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
K. Spears K. Spears G 8 5.8 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 35 2.7 16.0 20.0 0.0 83.3 -0.12 45.8 20.0
C. McKey C. McKey F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -33 -2.1 -6.8 - - - -0.15 - -
G. Moore G. Moore G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG