Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | -3.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd -1 (57-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Conerway | 36 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +0.8 |
| T. Dowd | 26 | 0-10 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.2 |
| M. Rigsby | 26 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -3.1 |
| J. Fields | 25 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +0.7 |
| V. Valdes | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +2.9 |
| M. Rigsby Jr. | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +10.8 |
| Coo. Campbell | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -2.8 |
| T. Seng | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
| J. Bellamy | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.0 |
| K. Kiel | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -7.0 |
| R. Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Speer | 38 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| N. Martin | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 6 | -2.9 |
| O. Anochili-Killen | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 20 | +0.1 |
| D. Mingo | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -2.8 |
| M. Dawson | 21 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +5.1 |
| J. Gibbs | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -5.9 |
| C. Gibbs | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
| R. Nutter | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +2.8 |
* = starter