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2024-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Marshall Thundering Herd Spread Result
Elo 13.2% 86.8% -
Bradley-Terry 25.6% 74.4% -
Margin 8.6% 91.4% +13.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% -
Efficiency 27.7% 72.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.2% 93.8% -
Log Adjusted 6.1% 93.9% -
Points Off/Def 22.4% 77.6% -

Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. White Jr. * 37 7-18 2-4 1-2 10 4 1 2 1 17 15 +4.9
T. Brelsford * 30 5-9 1-4 8-12 3 3 1 0 2 19 15 +5.1
K. Ruegsegger * 29 2-6 2-4 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 6 3 -13.1
A. Mellouk * 25 1-3 0-0 2-2 10 1 1 0 3 4 10 -9.6
J. Breazeale * 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 1 2 0 -1 +4.2
T. Scott 27 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 6 3 -7.6
G. Marshall 19 5-10 3-6 5-5 1 1 1 0 2 18 9 +5.1
K. Carvey 14 3-5 0-0 1-4 4 0 0 0 1 7 5 -0.7

Marshall Thundering Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Dawson * 32 3-9 1-6 0-2 3 5 0 0 2 7 4 -5.1
D. Mingo * 32 5-10 0-3 7-10 2 4 1 0 1 17 13 +0.2
O. Anochili-Killen * 31 3-5 1-1 10-10 10 1 0 4 0 17 27 +11.2
R. Nutter * 25 3-7 1-2 0-1 1 1 2 1 0 7 5 -0.4
N. Martin * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
C. Gibbs 20 4-8 0-3 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 8 4 -12.3
W. Fricks 19 4-7 3-5 0-0 3 0 2 1 2 11 8 +10.6
J. Speer 18 1-2 0-1 2-3 0 2 0 0 1 4 3 +6.5
W. Moore 7 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 1 +2.9
K. Spears 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
E. Harding 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -0.0
J. Gibbs 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter