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Manhattan

Also known as: Manhattan Jaspers, Manhattan
Program History

2015 Team Stats (5 games)

73.6
PPG
71.2
Opp
+2.4
Margin
42.3%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
73.4%
FT%
36.6
RPG
14.4
APG
14.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.2
Adj PPG
67.5
Adj Opp PPG
#163
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1113 (#99) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1006 (#169) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More โ†’ 1065 (#85) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -0.5 (#165) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +2.2 (#137) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.583 (#130) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.0 More โ†’ 0.471 (#169) AdjNet -1.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.0 More โ†’ 0.471 (#168) AdjNet -1.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 67.5 More โ†’ 0.494 (#163) AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 67.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 66.0 More โ†’ 0.563 (#111) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 66.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.554 (#140) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.568 (#132) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1053 (#132) RD 118 | GP 33

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-15 @ Florida State Seminoles L 66 - 81
2014-11-18 @ Massachusetts Minutemen L 68 - 77
2014-11-22 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 78 - 63
2014-11-23 vs Northeastern Huskies L 51 - 65
2014-11-29 @ George Mason Patriots L 63 - 64
2014-12-05 @ Fairfield Stags L 54 - 67
2014-12-07 vs Marist Red Foxes W 60 - 38
2014-12-14 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 55 - 63
2014-12-17 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 56 - 65
2014-12-20 vs Morgan State Bears W 73 - 69
2014-12-22 @ Fordham Rams W 71 - 57
2015-01-02 @ Niagara Purple Eagles L 61 - 73
2015-01-04 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 63 - 60
2015-01-07 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 68 - 63
2015-01-10 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 84 - 75
2015-01-16 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks W 72 - 65
2015-01-18 vs Rider Broncs L 79 - 82
2015-01-23 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 59 - 73
2015-01-25 vs Monmouth Hawks W 71 - 64
2015-01-30 vs Siena Saints W 87 - 79
2015-02-01 @ Monmouth Hawks W 87 - 76
2015-02-06 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 78 - 69
2015-02-08 @ Rider Broncs L 77 - 85
2015-02-13 vs Iona Gaels L 67 - 70
2015-02-15 vs Fairfield Stags W 79 - 70
2015-02-21 @ Siena Saints W 80 - 74
2015-02-23 @ Marist Red Foxes W 67 - 54
2015-02-27 @ Iona Gaels L 75 - 79
2015-03-01 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 69 - 65
2015-03-07 vs Marist Red Foxes W 74 - 58
2015-03-08 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 65 - 48
2015-03-09 @ Iona Gaels W 79 - 69
2015-03-17 vs Hampton Pirates L 64 - 74

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Emmy Andujar Emmy Andujar F 30 32.0 16.5 7.5 3.4 2.0 0.2 4.0 3.0 22.7 85 26 3.3 4.5 50.5 0.0 64.1 0.8 229.3 50.5
Shane Richards Shane Richards F 31 33.3 13.6 3.8 1.7 0.8 0.1 1.4 2.1 16.6 102 27 3.8 5.2 35.9 32.1 83.3 2.7 264.9 49.2
Ashton Pankey Ashton Pankey F 31 27.5 13.5 6.7 1.0 0.6 1.5 2.4 2.3 18.6 82 27 3.0 4.8 52.8 0 67.3 0.75 220.8 52.8
RaShawn Stores RaShawn Stores G 29 25.7 6.2 1.8 2.9 1.3 0.0 1.1 0.9 10.2 142 25 5.7 10.1 37.0 37.5 75.0 3.0 278.8 48.1
Rich Williams Rich Williams G 31 16.4 5.5 1.5 0.8 0.9 0.0 1.0 1.1 6.5 -2 27 -0.1 -0.2 42.9 39.1 66.7 -1.35 235.4 55.7
Zane Waterman Zane Waterman F 26 8.2 3.6 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 4.3 -16 24 -0.7 -3.8 30.0 27.3 50.0 -2.61 213.7 37.5
Tyler Wilson Tyler Wilson G 31 21.0 3.4 1.5 3.0 1.4 0.0 1.9 0.5 6.8 -65 27 -2.4 -5.1 25.0 0.0 83.3 -4.26 284.3 25.0
Donovan Kates Donovan Kates G 30 23.6 3.1 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.7 0.6 5.4 15 27 0.6 1.1 36.8 38.5 50.0 -2.64 226.4 50.0
Calvin Crawford Calvin Crawford F 28 7.6 2.4 1.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.7 3.3 -18 25 -0.7 -4.1 35.0 25.0 28.6 -2.53 145.1 40.0
Carlton Allen Carlton Allen C 19 7.3 1.1 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.0 -16 17 -0.9 -6.2 100.0 0 50.0 -2.89 347.2 100.0
Jermaine Lawrence Jermaine Lawrence F 1 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -1.0 22 17 1.3 4.3 0.0 0 50.0 -0.39 17.4 0.0
Trevor Glassman Trevor Glassman G 11 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.5 -16 8 -2.0 -30.4 0.0 0.0 0 -3.01 350.0 0.0
Samson Akilo Samson Akilo F 8 2.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.6 0 5 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG