Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gilbert * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 30 | - |
| Tyler Nelson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Jerome Segura * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mike Kirkland * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Coleman Johnson * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Degnan | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Steve Smith | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Steve Johnston | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K.J. Rose | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Gilbert | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmy Andujar * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 31 | - |
| Shane Richards * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Ashton Pankey * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 25 | - |
| RaShawn Stores * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Donovan Kates | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Wilson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - |
| Rich Williams | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Zane Waterman | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Carlton Allen | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Calvin Crawford | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter