Minnesota Lynx
2012 Team Stats (34 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1165 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1189 (#1) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1109 (#2) | HCA +80 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +7.7 (#1) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +6.0 (#2) | HCA +3.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.752 (#1) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.750 (#1) | AdjNet +9.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.751 (#1) | AdjNet +9.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.665 (#1) | AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 75.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.618 (#2) | AdjO 80.5 | AdjD 75.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.700 (#2) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.692 (#2) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1178 (#2) | RD 86 | GP 43 |
2012 Schedule & Results
2012 Roster
Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seimone Augustus | G | 29 | 28.5 | 16.6 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 13.5 | 8.6 | -198 | 38 | -5.2 | -5.4 | 49.1 | 43.7 | 85.2 | -0.54 | 57.6 | 54.9 |
| Maya Moore | F | 34 | 29.7 | 16.4 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 12.6 | 13.8 | -293 | 43 | -6.8 | -6.9 | 46.5 | 38.8 | 87.9 | -2.21 | 59.2 | 55.0 |
| Lindsay Whalen | G | 33 | 27.0 | 11.5 | 4.2 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 8.9 | 11.0 | -187 | 42 | -4.5 | -5.0 | 50.5 | 50.0 | 72.7 | -0.02 | 56.6 | 52.7 |
| Rebekkah Brunson | F | 31 | 27.0 | 11.4 | 8.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 8.8 | 13.5 | -144 | 40 | -3.6 | -4.0 | 50.5 | 0 | 67.9 | 0.27 | 54.6 | 50.5 |
| Monica Wright | G | 34 | 19.4 | 8.6 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 6.6 | 5.6 | -164 | 43 | -3.8 | -4.7 | 45.8 | 36.4 | 74.0 | 0.16 | 54.8 | 49.3 |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin | C | 33 | 26.6 | 8.4 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 7.1 | 9.6 | -229 | 42 | -5.5 | -6.4 | 51.9 | 40.0 | 75.0 | -1.1 | 54.6 | 52.3 |
| Candice Wiggins | G | 34 | 21.8 | 6.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 4.2 | -190 | 43 | -4.4 | -5.0 | 36.0 | 39.7 | 86.5 | -0.76 | 54.4 | 50.8 |
| Devereaux Peters | F | 30 | 14.1 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 6.4 | -90 | 39 | -2.3 | -4.0 | 56.0 | 0 | 70.6 | -0.18 | 60.1 | 56.0 |
| Amber Harris | - | 27 | 8.9 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 2.9 | -99 | 33 | -3.0 | -6.3 | 40.4 | 38.9 | 68.2 | -0.53 | 47.6 | 44.4 |
| Jessica Adair | - | 19 | 8.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 7 | 23 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 35.1 | 0 | 57.1 | 0.78 | 43.9 | 35.1 |
| Erin Thorn | - | 26 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | -43 | 32 | -1.3 | -3.9 | 36.2 | 35.3 | 100.0 | 0.12 | 52.4 | 48.9 |
| Julie Wojta | - | 1 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2012 Shot Zones
3063 located field-goal attempts in 45 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Maya MooreSeimone AugustusLindsay WhalenRebekkah BrunsonCandice Wiggins
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 600-970 | 61.9 | 1200 | Lindsay Whalen 20% (244 pts) | Rebekkah Brunson 16% (198 pts) | Lindsay Whalen 19% (69 misses) | Rebekkah Brunson 17% (64 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 188-502 | 37.5 | 376 | Seimone Augustus 24% (90 pts) | Rebekkah Brunson 19% (70 pts) | Seimone Augustus 21% (65 misses) | Lindsay Whalen 16% (51 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 182-424 | 42.9 | 364 | Seimone Augustus 30% (108 pts) | Maya Moore 20% (72 pts) | Seimone Augustus 28% (68 misses) | Lindsay Whalen 15% (36 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 75-174 | 43.1 | 150 | Seimone Augustus 29% (44 pts) | Taj McWilliams-Franklin 17% (26 pts) | Rebekkah Brunson 18% (18 misses) | Maya Moore 17% (17 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 134-312 | 42.9 | 268 | Seimone Augustus 22% (58 pts) | Maya Moore 19% (52 pts) | Seimone Augustus 21% (37 misses) | Maya Moore 18% (32 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 29-62 | 46.8 | 87 | Candice Wiggins 41% (36 pts) | Seimone Augustus 21% (18 pts) | Candice Wiggins 27% (9 misses) | Maya Moore 24% (8 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 12-29 | 41.4 | 36 | Candice Wiggins 50% (18 pts) | Maya Moore 33% (12 pts) | Maya Moore 53% (9 misses) | Erin Thorn 18% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 90-267 | 33.7 | 270 | Maya Moore 41% (111 pts) | Candice Wiggins 20% (54 pts) | Maya Moore 36% (63 misses) | Candice Wiggins 26% (46 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 31-101 | 30.7 | 93 | Maya Moore 39% (36 pts) | Candice Wiggins 19% (18 pts) | Maya Moore 34% (24 misses) | Candice Wiggins 20% (14 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 86-222 | 38.7 | 258 | Maya Moore 28% (72 pts) | Seimone Augustus 28% (72 pts) | Maya Moore 34% (46 misses) | Candice Wiggins 24% (32 misses) |