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2012-09-21

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 60.5% 39.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“
Margin 63.8% 36.2% -6.3 โœ“ (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 84.9% 15.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 81.0% 19.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“

Actual: Phoenix Mercury -23 (66-89). Ratings: 2013 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devereaux Peters * 32 3-8 0-0 2-2 9 6 0 4 3 8 16 -
Maya Moore * 23 8-12 2-4 3-3 6 3 2 0 2 21 18 -
Lindsay Whalen * 21 6-9 0-0 1-2 4 5 0 0 1 13 12 -
Seimone Augustus * 21 6-15 2-3 2-2 1 4 0 0 0 16 6 -
Rebekkah Brunson * 17 1-3 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 2 0 4 12 -
Erin Thorn 23 6-10 5-8 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 17 6 -
Candice Wiggins 22 1-8 1-7 2-2 5 0 2 0 0 5 4 -
Jessica Adair 20 1-5 0-0 1-4 6 2 0 1 3 3 4 -
Monica Wright 17 1-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 2 2 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeWanna Bonner * 35 6-18 1-5 4-4 5 3 0 0 3 17 4 -
Samantha Prahalis * 34 6-15 0-2 2-3 0 8 2 0 4 14 5 -
Alexis Hornbuckle * 29 3-9 0-3 0-0 5 1 2 0 5 6 0 -
Krystal Thomas * 27 1-3 0-0 2-4 11 0 0 2 5 4 9 -
Candice Dupree * 17 4-9 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
Charde Houston 24 1-7 1-4 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
Nakia Sanford 19 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Lynetta Kizer 11 3-5 1-1 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 7 8 -

* = starter