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2012-06-15

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 60.5% 39.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“
Margin 63.8% 36.2% -6.3 โœ“ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 84.9% 15.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 81.0% 19.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“

Actual: Phoenix Mercury -18 (60-78). Ratings: 2013 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 29 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 3 0 4 10 -
Seimone Augustus * 27 6-13 2-4 0-0 4 3 1 2 3 14 8 -
Lindsay Whalen * 25 11-14 1-1 6-7 3 1 2 0 1 29 20 -
Maya Moore * 22 3-10 1-5 2-2 7 2 2 2 0 9 12 -
Rebekkah Brunson * 18 1-5 0-0 1-4 6 2 1 0 2 3 5 -
Monica Wright 21 3-8 2-3 3-3 2 3 1 0 1 11 8 -
Amber Harris 16 0-6 0-1 0-2 7 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
Candice Wiggins 16 0-5 0-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
Devereaux Peters 14 2-4 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 2 6 5 -
Erin Thorn 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Jessica Adair 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeWanna Bonner * 35 5-16 0-3 8-10 4 0 3 0 2 18 7 -
Candice Dupree * 35 5-11 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 0 3 11 8 -
Samantha Prahalis * 29 1-8 0-3 5-5 4 4 1 0 2 7 6 -
Charde Houston * 20 2-9 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 4 0 -
Nakia Sanford * 10 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Krystal Thomas 18 1-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 3 1 4 11 -
Alexis Hornbuckle 16 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 7 4 -
Alexis Gray-Lawson 11 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
Avery Warley-Talbert 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
Andrea Riley 10 0-5 0-4 2-2 0 2 0 0 3 2 -4 -

* = starter