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Minnesota Timberwolves

Also known as: Minnesota Timberwolves
Program History

2004 Team Stats (80 games)

94.5
PPG
88.9
Opp
+5.7
Margin
46.1%
FG%
36.4%
3P%
78.5%
FT%
43.0
RPG
22.9
APG
12.2
TO
91.0
Est. poss./game
91.6
Adj PPG
86.2
Adj Opp PPG
#3
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1247 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1170 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More โ†’ 1089 (#5) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ +5.5 (#3) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.3 More โ†’ +4.6 (#6) HCA +4.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.637 (#4) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.9 More โ†’ 0.637 (#4) NetEff +4.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.0 More โ†’ 0.665 (#3) AdjNet +6.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.0 More โ†’ 0.665 (#3) AdjNet +6.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 91.6 | AdjD 86.2 More โ†’ 0.620 (#3) AdjO 91.6 | AdjD 86.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 89.9 | AdjD 86.2 More โ†’ 0.584 (#6) AdjO 89.9 | AdjD 86.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.679 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.672 (#3) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 85 | GP 100 More โ†’ 1148 (#3) RD 85 | GP 100

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-10-29 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 95 - 89
2003-10-31 @ Brooklyn Nets L 61 - 84
2003-11-01 vs Toronto Raptors W 73 - 56
2003-11-03 @ Utah Jazz L 88 - 93
2003-11-05 vs Sacramento Kings L 121 - 125
2003-11-07 @ Orlando Magic W 100 - 71
2003-11-08 @ Miami Heat W 88 - 79
2003-11-11 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 87 - 89
2003-11-13 @ Chicago Bulls W 92 - 89
2003-11-14 vs Utah Jazz L 77 - 85
2003-11-18 vs Denver Nuggets W 89 - 76
2003-11-21 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 97 - 83
2003-11-22 vs LA Clippers W 103 - 91
2003-11-25 @ Indiana Pacers L 75 - 98
2003-11-26 vs New York Knicks L 92 - 97
2003-11-28 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 102 - 98
2003-11-29 @ Dallas Mavericks L 88 - 92
2003-12-03 @ Phoenix Suns W 92 - 79
2003-12-05 @ Sacramento Kings W 112 - 109
2003-12-07 @ LA Clippers W 96 - 94
2003-12-09 vs Golden State Warriors L 95 - 98
2003-12-12 @ Washington Wizards W 110 - 91
2003-12-15 @ Boston Celtics W 116 - 95
2003-12-16 vs Houston Rockets W 92 - 75
2003-12-18 vs Dallas Mavericks W 114 - 109
2003-12-20 vs Indiana Pacers W 102 - 80
2003-12-23 @ New York Knicks W 98 - 92
2003-12-26 @ Portland Trail Blazers - Incomplete score
2003-12-27 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 104 - 86
2003-12-30 vs Chicago Bulls - Incomplete score
2004-01-02 vs Atlanta Hawks W 93 - 75
2004-01-03 @ Dallas Mavericks L 112 - 119
2004-01-06 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 106 - 90
2004-01-08 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 96 - 75
2004-01-10 vs Miami Heat W 83 - 77
2004-01-13 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 94 - 89
2004-01-14 @ San Antonio Spurs W 100 - 93
2004-01-17 @ Houston Rockets L 76 - 95
2004-01-19 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 97 - 90
2004-01-21 @ Toronto Raptors W 108 - 97
2004-01-23 vs Detroit Pistons W 80 - 79
2004-01-25 vs Phoenix Suns W 99 - 95
2004-01-26 @ Denver Nuggets W 97 - 95
2004-01-28 @ Golden State Warriors L 90 - 97
2004-01-30 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 97 - 84
2004-02-01 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 106 - 101
2004-02-03 vs Orlando Magic W 113 - 100
2004-02-04 @ Atlanta Hawks L 89 - 97
2004-02-06 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 103 - 92
2004-02-08 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 98 - 99
2004-02-10 vs LA Clippers W 96 - 84
2004-02-11 @ Utah Jazz W 77 - 66
2004-02-17 vs Phoenix Suns W 110 - 95
2004-02-19 vs Sacramento Kings W 92 - 75
2004-02-20 @ Detroit Pistons W 88 - 87
2004-02-22 vs San Antonio Spurs L 92 - 94
2004-02-24 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 108 - 102
2004-02-25 vs Brooklyn Nets W 81 - 68
2004-02-27 vs Golden State Warriors W 91 - 81
2004-02-29 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 74 - 81
2004-03-03 vs Dallas Mavericks W 121 - 97
2004-03-05 vs Houston Rockets L 109 - 112
2004-03-07 vs Boston Celtics L 77 - 80
2004-03-09 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 105 - 92
2004-03-10 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 79 - 92
2004-03-12 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 96 - 86
2004-03-14 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 83 - 92
2004-03-18 @ San Antonio Spurs L 86 - 106
2004-03-19 @ Phoenix Suns W 93 - 80
2004-03-21 vs Denver Nuggets W 98 - 77
2004-03-23 vs San Antonio Spurs W 86 - 81
2004-03-24 @ Denver Nuggets L 92 - 101
2004-03-26 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 73 - 90
2004-03-27 @ LA Clippers W 98 - 82
2004-03-29 @ Houston Rockets W 94 - 88
2004-03-31 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 90 - 83
2004-04-02 vs Washington Wizards W 91 - 73
2004-04-04 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 90 - 82
2004-04-08 @ Sacramento Kings W 94 - 86
2004-04-09 @ Golden State Warriors W 92 - 74
2004-04-12 vs Utah Jazz W 104 - 90
2004-04-14 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 107 - 90
2004-04-18 vs Denver Nuggets W 106 - 92
2004-04-21 vs Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2004-04-24 @ Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2004-04-27 @ Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2004-04-30 vs Denver Nuggets W 102 - 91
2004-05-04 vs Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2004-05-08 vs Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2004-05-10 @ Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2004-05-12 @ Sacramento Kings L 81 - 87
2004-05-14 vs Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2004-05-16 @ Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2004-05-19 vs Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2004-05-21 vs Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2004-05-23 vs Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2004-05-25 @ Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2004-05-27 @ Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2004-05-29 vs Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2004-05-31 @ Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score

2004 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kevin Garnett Kevin Garnett G 80 39.4 24.1 13.9 4.9 1.5 2.2 2.6 19.7 24.4 463 82 5.6 10.8 49.6 24.4 79.6 -0.08 54.5 49.9
Sam Cassell G 79 35.0 19.7 3.4 7.3 1.3 0.2 2.7 15.6 13.6 436 81 5.4 12.5 48.8 40.1 88.4 1.06 56.8 51.8
Latrell Sprewell G 80 37.7 16.6 3.8 3.5 1.1 0.3 1.9 15.3 8.0 414 82 5.0 9.6 40.7 32.5 81.7 2.91 49.1 44.6
Wally Szczerbiak G 28 22.2 10.2 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 1.0 8.4 5.5 118 28 4.2 12.5 44.9 43.5 82.8 0.78 53.9 49.2
Troy Hudson G 29 17.3 7.5 1.2 2.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 7.1 3.1 56 29 1.9 6.5 38.6 40.3 81.8 0.42 49.2 46.1
Fred Hoiberg G 77 22.9 6.7 3.4 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.6 4.8 7.1 322 79 4.1 12.5 47.0 45.2 85.7 3.68 61.9 57.2
Michael Olowokandi G 43 21.5 6.5 5.7 0.6 0.4 1.6 1.3 6.6 6.8 139 43 3.2 11.6 42.5 0 59.0 0.09 44.6 42.5
Gary Trent G 66 15.2 5.7 3.2 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.8 4.9 4.4 168 67 2.5 11.9 47.5 0.0 75.8 0.51 51.8 47.5
Trenton Hassell G 79 27.7 5.0 3.1 1.6 0.4 0.7 0.5 4.6 5.7 363 80 4.5 11.4 46.6 30.8 78.7 2.37 50.0 47.1
Mark Madsen G 70 17.6 3.6 3.9 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.7 2.9 5.1 207 72 2.9 11.8 50.0 0.0 48.2 2.33 51.0 50.0
Darrick Martin G 16 10.7 3.4 0.4 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 4.2 0.9 80 15 5.3 26.6 29.9 23.1 100.0 -0.48 38.8 34.3
Keith McLeod G 31 12.0 2.8 1.0 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.9 2.5 2.6 60 32 1.9 9.0 34.2 11.1 75.6 -0.12 44.3 34.8
Anthony Goldwire G 5 13.2 2.6 1.2 2.0 0.6 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.2 10 11 0.9 6.3 35.7 33.3 100.0 -0.68 45.0 42.9
Oliver Miller G 46 10.0 2.5 2.5 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.7 2.1 3.9 107 46 2.3 15.6 52.6 0.0 65.2 0.38 54.7 52.6
Ervin Johnson G 64 14.6 1.9 3.5 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 1.5 4.8 207 65 3.2 16.7 53.1 0.0 60.7 -0.93 54.8 53.1
Quincy Lewis G 14 4.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.4 0.4 - - - - 35.0 40.0 0 - 40.0 40.0
Ndudi Ebi - 17 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.4 13 15 0.9 84.3 42.9 0 25.0 -1.71 41.2 42.9

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG