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Liberty Flames

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Liberty Flames
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

64.0
PPG
60.0
Opp
+4.0
Margin
42.7%
FG%
35.2%
3P%
68.9%
FT%
38.4
RPG
13.5
APG
16.8
TO
66.3
Est. poss./game
62.7
Adj PPG
60.6
Adj Opp PPG
#140
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1117 (#121) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1063 (#139) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More → 1063 (#107) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +2.2 (#138) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +3.1 (#123) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.578 (#143) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.5 More → 0.578 (#143) NetEff +2.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.1 More → 0.617 (#138) AdjNet +4.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.2 More → 0.618 (#137) AdjNet +4.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 60.6 More → 0.548 (#140) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 60.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 58.1 More → 0.584 (#108) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 58.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.598 (#131) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.605 (#127) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 127 | GP 29 More → 1063 (#135) RD 127 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Frostburg State Bobcats W 78 - 49
2025-11-07 vs East Carolina Pirates W 69 - 53
2025-11-12 @ James Madison Dukes L 61 - 74
2025-11-16 vs Duke Blue Devils L 57 - 71
2025-11-26 vs UVA Wise Cavaliers W 80 - 35
2025-11-29 vs Duquesne Dukes W 67 - 60
2025-11-30 @ Manhattan Jaspers W 68 - 56
2025-12-07 @ George Mason Patriots W 74 - 73
2025-12-13 vs Richmond Spiders L 61 - 76
2025-12-19 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine L 58 - 67
2025-12-20 @ Oregon State Beavers L 57 - 64
2026-01-02 @ New Mexico State Aggies W 67 - 62
2026-01-04 @ UTEP Miners W 86 - 66
2026-01-08 vs Sam Houston Bearkats L 53 - 59
2026-01-11 vs Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters L 72 - 86
2026-01-17 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 69 - 76
2026-01-22 @ Western Kentucky Lady Toppers W 55 - 53
2026-01-23 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 54 - 63
2026-01-30 vs Florida International Panthers L 61 - 74
2026-02-01 vs Missouri State Lady Bears W 60 - 52
2026-02-05 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 60 - 55
2026-02-07 @ Kennesaw State Owls L 58 - 64
2026-02-12 vs UTEP Miners W 58 - 48
2026-02-14 vs New Mexico State Aggies W 67 - 42
2026-02-19 @ Missouri State Lady Bears W 55 - 43
2026-02-21 @ Florida International Panthers L 45 - 66
2026-02-26 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 65 - 37
2026-02-28 vs Western Kentucky Lady Toppers W 60 - 54
2026-03-06 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 71 - 64
2026-03-12 @ Sam Houston Bearkats W 89 - 57
2026-03-13 @ Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters L 48 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Avery Mills Avery Mills G 26 30.8 15.3 4.0 2.2 0.9 0.2 1.8 11.6 9.2 83 20 4.2 5.7 42.9 42.7 85.1 -0.89 60.1 56.5
Emmy Stout Emmy Stout C 31 26.8 13.8 6.2 1.0 0.7 0.7 1.9 10.5 10.0 160 25 6.4 10.1 51.2 25.0 58.9 3.1 54.1 51.4
Ify Nwaobi Ify Nwaobi F 28 27.4 9.2 9.5 1.0 1.0 1.4 2.6 7.9 11.5 145 23 6.3 9.5 48.6 39.1 57.8 3.8 53.8 52.7
Claudia Acin Claudia Acin G 28 26.0 7.4 1.9 4.0 1.0 0.1 2.2 6.8 5.4 -2 23 -0.1 -0.1 42.3 34.8 59.3 -2.19 51.5 50.5
JaKayla Thompson JaKayla Thompson G 31 24.0 5.8 3.4 2.7 1.2 0.2 2.0 5.5 5.8 150 25 6.0 10.1 39.1 20.6 82.0 4.74 47.1 41.1
Elisabeth Aegisdottir Elisabeth Aegisdottir F 31 31.4 5.5 5.0 1.5 0.8 0.2 2.2 6.3 4.3 114 25 4.6 6.1 29.2 30.6 67.6 -0.97 40.0 36.9
Lydie Mwamba Lydie Mwamba G 31 10.3 3.7 1.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 3.4 2.1 -24 25 -1.0 -3.8 38.5 32.7 94.1 -2.17 51.1 47.1
Lynn Peters Lynn Peters C 31 12.0 3.7 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.5 2.6 2.1 -36 25 -1.4 -4.7 57.5 60.0 79.2 -2.65 62.9 59.4
Emma Leon Emma Leon G 31 15.8 3.3 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.1 1.3 3.7 1.4 -10 25 -0.4 -1.0 31.0 29.5 76.5 -3.26 41.7 38.8
Zeynep Avci Zeynep Avci G 14 4.9 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 26 9 2.9 21.0 50.0 25.0 0 0.86 56.2 56.2
Maleah Alexander Maleah Alexander G 21 5.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 39 17 2.3 18.6 18.2 0.0 0.0 1.23 16.8 18.2
Sierra Maxwell Sierra Maxwell G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Caroline Shiery Caroline Shiery F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1719 located field-goal attempts in 31 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Stout37% Stout32% Mills21% Mills41% Mills43% Mills34% Mills29% Mills35% Mills52% Mills40%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Stout32% Stout27% Mills18% Stout28% Mills33% Mills27% Mills35% Mills24% Mills36% Mills29%
Misses: who misses most here

Avery MillsEmmy Stout

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 250-405 61.7 500 Emmy Stout 37% (184 pts) Ify Nwaobi 19% (94 pts) Emmy Stout 32% (49 misses) Ify Nwaobi 16% (25 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 209-521 40.1 418 Emmy Stout 32% (134 pts) Ify Nwaobi 13% (54 pts) Emmy Stout 27% (85 misses) JaKayla Thompson 15% (46 misses)
Mid-range left 34-83 41.0 68 Avery Mills 21% (14 pts) Ify Nwaobi 21% (14 pts) Avery Mills 18% (9 misses) Emma Leon 14% (7 misses)
Mid-range center 17-56 30.4 34 Avery Mills 41% (14 pts) Emmy Stout 24% (8 pts) Emmy Stout 28% (11 misses) Ify Nwaobi 18% (7 misses)
Mid-range right 23-69 33.3 46 Avery Mills 43% (20 pts) Ify Nwaobi 22% (10 pts) Avery Mills 33% (15 misses) Elisabeth Aegisdottir 15% (7 misses)
Left corner 3 29-81 35.8 87 Avery Mills 34% (30 pts) Ify Nwaobi 17% (15 pts) Avery Mills 27% (14 misses) Elisabeth Aegisdottir 23% (12 misses)
Right corner 3 21-58 36.2 63 Avery Mills 29% (18 pts) Elisabeth Aegisdottir 24% (15 pts) Avery Mills 35% (13 misses) Elisabeth Aegisdottir 22% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 left 66-197 33.5 198 Avery Mills 35% (69 pts) Claudia Acin 15% (30 pts) Avery Mills 24% (31 misses) Elisabeth Aegisdottir 22% (29 misses)
Above-break 3 center 33-91 36.3 99 Avery Mills 52% (51 pts) Elisabeth Aegisdottir 15% (15 pts) Avery Mills 36% (21 misses) Claudia Acin 22% (13 misses)
Above-break 3 right 52-158 32.9 156 Avery Mills 40% (63 pts) Claudia Acin 15% (24 pts) Avery Mills 29% (31 misses) Claudia Acin 15% (16 misses)