Liberty Flames
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1023 (#140) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1050 (#121) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1087 (#51) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.1 (#195) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.0 (#167) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.512 (#157) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.319 (#203) | AdjNet -6.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.316 (#203) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.421 (#192) | AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 70.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.508 (#142) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.494 (#158) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.512 (#148) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1053 (#115) | RD 117 | GP 28 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-12-03 | vs | Virginia Commonwealth | L | 68 - 93 |
| 1993-12-06 | vs | Central Connecticut State | W | 82 - 69 |
| 1993-12-21 | @ | Western Michigan | L | 63 - 72 |
| 1993-12-30 | @ | Virginia | L | 49 - 62 |
| 1994-01-04 | @ | James Madison | L | 64 - 78 |
| 1994-01-08 | vs | UMBC | W | 89 - 79 |
| 1994-01-10 | vs | Towson | L | 61 - 66 |
| 1994-01-13 | @ | UNC Asheville | W | 79 - 71 |
| 1994-01-15 | @ | Radford | L | 68 - 82 |
| 1994-01-18 | @ | Virginia Tech | L | 65 - 81 |
| 1994-01-20 | vs | Winthrop | W | 85 - 61 |
| 1994-01-22 | @ | Charleston Southern | W | 71 - 67 |
| 1994-01-24 | @ | Coastal Carolina | L | 75 - 86 |
| 1994-01-27 | @ | Campbell | L | 60 - 63 |
| 1994-01-31 | vs | UNC Greensboro | W | 74 - 64 |
| 1994-02-03 | vs | Campbell | W | 60 - 55 |
| 1994-02-05 | @ | UMBC | W | 75 - 64 |
| 1994-02-07 | @ | Towson | L | 78 - 79 |
| 1994-02-10 | vs | UNC Asheville | W | 56 - 51 |
| 1994-02-12 | @ | UNC Greensboro | W | 65 - 63 |
| 1994-02-16 | @ | Winthrop | W | 81 - 72 |
| 1994-02-19 | vs | Charleston Southern | W | 90 - 81 |
| 1994-02-21 | vs | Coastal Carolina | L | 81 - 84 |
| 1994-02-26 | vs | Radford | W | 75 - 73 |
| 1994-03-04 | @ | Charleston Southern | W | 82 - 71 |
| 1994-03-05 | N | Towson | W | 63 - 58 |
| 1994-03-06 | N | Campbell | W | 76 - 62 |
| 1994-03-18 | N | North Carolina | L | 51 - 71 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.