Jacksonville State
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1221 (#205) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1170 (#255) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 986 (#430) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +20.6 (#214) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.3 (#221) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.533 (#172) | AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 63.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.631 (#199) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.611 (#197) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1049 (#178) | RD 175 | GP 28 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Gaines
|
F | 27 | 31.7 | 16.4 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 20.5 | 80 | 3.0 | 4.4 | 42.1 | 22.2 | 79.3 | 0.8 | 316.8 | 45.6 |
D. Rackley
|
G | 18 | 29.6 | 13.7 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 14.4 | 36 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 31.6 | 41.7 | 71.4 | 0.15 | 218.7 | 38.2 |
B. Williams
|
G | 28 | 35.8 | 13.1 | 2.4 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 17.4 | 62 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 27.5 | 31.2 | 50.0 | 0.98 | 336.6 | 32.4 |
R. Boggs
|
G | 28 | 34.4 | 11.3 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 18.4 | 17 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 43.1 | 42.9 | 71.4 | -0.13 | 292.2 | 49.0 |
N. Cook
|
F | 28 | 25.4 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 12.2 | 19 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 52.2 | 0 | 55.0 | 0.3 | 239.0 | 52.2 |
R. Mafra
|
F | 28 | 14.2 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 6.2 | -29 | -1.1 | -3.0 | 44.4 | 0 | 37.5 | -0.4 | 260.2 | 44.4 |
R. Sanders
|
G | 14 | 12.6 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 4.6 | 47 | 5.2 | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.56 | 0 | 0 |
M. Leggett
|
G | 27 | 20.1 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 6.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.1 | 249.3 | 33.3 |
C. Deanes
|
- | 18 | 9.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2.2 | -10 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 62.5 | 0 | 58.3 | -0.05 | 128.0 | 62.5 |
M. Louder
|
F | 6 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | -18 | -3.0 | -12.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.29 | 550.0 | 100.0 |
A. Anderson
|
G | 25 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 29 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.62 | 360.4 | 0.0 |
G. Klaus
|
- | 4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 250.0 | 0.0 |
G. Smith
|
G | 9 | 7.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 201 | 5.9 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.08 | 212.8 | 0.0 |
R. McReynolds
|
G | 4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
D. Moore
|
- | 8 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 99 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.73 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG