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Jacksonville State

Also known as: Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1221 (#205) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1170 (#255) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 986 (#430) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +20.6 (#214) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +5.3 (#221) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 63.9 More → 0.533 (#172) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 63.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.631 (#199) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.611 (#197) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 175 | GP 28 More → 1049 (#178) RD 175 | GP 28

2013 Schedule & Results

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Gaines T. Gaines F 27 31.7 16.4 5.2 0.9 1.0 0.7 1.5 2.1 20.5 80 3.0 4.4 42.1 22.2 79.3 0.8 316.8 45.6
D. Rackley D. Rackley G 18 29.6 13.7 2.2 1.5 1.6 0.4 3.0 2.1 14.4 36 2.0 3.1 31.6 41.7 71.4 0.15 218.7 38.2
B. Williams B. Williams G 28 35.8 13.1 2.4 4.2 1.6 0.2 2.4 1.8 17.4 62 1.5 2.2 27.5 31.2 50.0 0.98 336.6 32.4
R. Boggs R. Boggs G 28 34.4 11.3 5.9 2.3 1.9 0.6 1.8 1.8 18.4 17 0.6 0.8 43.1 42.9 71.4 -0.13 292.2 49.0
N. Cook N. Cook F 28 25.4 5.4 4.8 1.7 1.1 1.7 1.7 0.8 12.2 19 0.7 1.1 52.2 0 55.0 0.3 239.0 52.2
R. Mafra R. Mafra F 28 14.2 4.0 2.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 6.2 -29 -1.1 -3.0 44.4 0 37.5 -0.4 260.2 44.4
R. Sanders R. Sanders G 14 12.6 3.8 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.0 4.6 47 5.2 8.2 0 0 0 0.56 0 0
M. Leggett M. Leggett G 27 20.1 2.7 2.1 1.5 1.2 0.1 1.1 0.4 6.0 2 0.1 0.1 33.3 0.0 66.7 0.1 249.3 33.3
C. Deanes C. Deanes - 18 9.1 1.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.4 2.2 -10 -0.5 -2.1 62.5 0 58.3 -0.05 128.0 62.5
M. Louder M. Louder F 6 5.2 1.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.2 -18 -3.0 -12.3 100.0 0 0 -0.29 550.0 100.0
A. Anderson A. Anderson G 25 6.8 1.3 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.2 1.4 29 1.2 4.3 0.0 0 0.0 0.62 360.4 0.0
G. Klaus G. Klaus - 4 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 1.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 250.0 0.0
G. Smith G. Smith G 9 7.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.1 201 5.9 10.1 0.0 0.0 100.0 1.08 212.8 0.0
R. McReynolds R. McReynolds G 4 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Moore D. Moore - 8 3.4 0.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8 99 2.9 3.8 0 0 0 1.73 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG