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Jacksonville State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Program History
Coach: Ray Harper

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 888 (#230) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1045 (#139) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More → 1018 (#140) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → -2.7 (#212) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -2.9 (#209) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.491 (#173) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.0 More → 0.360 (#212) AdjNet -5.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.1 More → 0.357 (#212) AdjNet -5.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 63.9 More → 0.448 (#208) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 63.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 64.9 More → 0.483 (#185) AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 64.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.438 (#201) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.445 (#200) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 177 | GP 26 More → 988 (#184) RD 177 | GP 26

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Reinhardt Eagles W 93 - 63
2012-11-11 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 61 - 54
2012-11-15 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 79 - 61
2012-11-17 @ UNLV Rebels L 58 - 77
2012-11-19 @ Oregon Ducks L 45 - 67
2012-11-23 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 50 - 48
2012-11-24 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 54 - 50
2012-12-01 @ Alcorn State Braves W 56 - 52
2012-12-11 vs Tennessee Southern Firehawks W 79 - 64
2012-12-15 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose W 66 - 59
2012-12-18 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 55 - 59
2012-12-29 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 83 - 62
2012-12-31 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 64 - 54
2013-01-03 vs Belmont Bruins L 62 - 73
2013-01-05 vs Tennessee State Tigers L 57 - 66
2013-01-10 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 75 - 62
2013-01-12 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 61 - 55
2013-01-17 @ Tennessee State Tigers L 60 - 66
2013-01-19 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 62 - 73
2013-01-24 vs Austin Peay Governors W 81 - 74
2013-01-26 vs Murray State Racers W 65 - 64
2013-02-02 vs Morehead State Eagles W 70 - 59
2013-02-09 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 64 - 78
2013-02-14 @ Morehead State Eagles L 81 - 85
2013-02-16 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 67 - 80
2013-02-20 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 67 - 65
2013-02-23 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 71 - 69
2013-03-02 @ Belmont Bruins L 71 - 78

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tarvin Gaines Tarvin Gaines F 27 31.7 16.4 5.2 0.9 1.0 0.7 1.5 2.1 20.5 -1 16 -0.1 -0.1 42.1 22.2 79.3 0.81 316.8 45.6
Darion Rackley Darion Rackley G 18 29.6 13.7 2.2 1.5 1.6 0.4 3.0 2.1 14.4 19 9 2.1 3.0 31.6 41.7 71.4 0.85 218.7 38.2
Brian Williams Brian Williams G 28 35.8 13.1 2.4 4.2 1.6 0.2 2.4 1.8 17.4 -51 17 -3.0 -3.6 27.5 31.2 50.0 -2.65 336.6 32.4
Ronnie Boggs Ronnie Boggs G 28 34.4 11.3 5.9 2.3 1.9 0.6 1.8 1.8 18.4 -43 17 -2.5 -3.1 43.1 42.9 71.4 -1.1 292.2 49.0
Nick Cook Nick Cook F 28 25.4 5.4 4.8 1.7 1.1 1.7 1.7 0.8 12.2 -28 17 -1.6 -2.7 52.2 0 55.0 -0.93 239.0 52.2
Rinaldo Mafra Rinaldo Mafra F 28 14.2 4.0 2.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 6.2 -36 17 -2.1 -6.3 44.4 0 37.5 -1.06 260.2 44.4
Rico Sanders Rico Sanders G 14 12.6 3.8 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.0 4.6 -29 9 -3.2 -10.0 0 0 0 -2.43 0 0
Mason Leggett Mason Leggett G 27 20.1 2.7 2.1 1.5 1.2 0.1 1.1 0.4 6.0 -5 16 -0.3 -0.6 33.3 0.0 66.7 -0.05 249.3 33.3
Chris Deanes Chris Deanes - 18 9.1 1.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.4 2.2 - - - - 62.5 0 58.3 - 128.0 62.5
Mike Louder Mike Louder F 6 5.2 1.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.2 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -0.62 550.0 100.0
Alex Anderson Alex Anderson G 25 6.8 1.3 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.2 1.4 -10 15 -0.7 -4.2 0.0 0 0.0 -0.24 360.4 0.0
Gus Klaus Gus Klaus - 4 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 1.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 250.0 0.0
Giovanni Smith Giovanni Smith G 9 7.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.1 -14 5 -2.8 -16.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 -3.27 212.8 0.0
Rod McReynolds Rod McReynolds G 4 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.06 0 0
Darrius Moore Darrius Moore - 8 3.4 0.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG