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Iowa State

Also known as: Iowa State Cyclones, Iowa State
Program History

2017 Team Stats (17 games)

83.0
PPG
71.8
Opp
+11.2
Margin
47.9%
FG%
40.0%
3P%
67.4%
FT%
37.1
RPG
16.5
APG
10.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
82.6
Adj PPG
64.6
Adj Opp PPG
#14
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1384 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1270 (#26) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1149 (#21) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +19.5 (#12) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +20.1 (#9) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.784 (#36) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.8 More โ†’ 0.952 (#18) AdjNet +25.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +26.2 More โ†’ 0.954 (#18) AdjNet +26.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 64.6 More โ†’ 0.837 (#14) AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 64.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 69.0 More โ†’ 0.759 (#13) AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 69.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.876 (#16) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.865 (#16) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1289 (#22) RD 102 | GP 35

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Savannah State Tigers W 113 - 71
2016-11-14 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 73 - 55
2016-11-20 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 130 - 63
2016-11-24 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 73 - 71
2016-11-25 @ Miami Hurricanes W 73 - 56
2016-11-27 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 71 - 73
2016-12-01 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 54 - 55
2016-12-05 vs Omaha Mavericks W 91 - 47
2016-12-08 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 64 - 78
2016-12-17 vs Drake Bulldogs W 97 - 80
2016-12-20 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 88 - 60
2016-12-30 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 63 - 56
2017-01-04 @ Baylor Bears L 63 - 65
2017-01-07 vs Texas Longhorns W 79 - 70
2017-01-11 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 96 - 86
2017-01-14 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 77 - 84
2017-01-16 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 72 - 76
2017-01-21 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 92 - 87
2017-01-24 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 70 - 65
2017-01-28 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 78 - 84
2017-01-31 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 72 - 85
2017-02-04 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 92 - 89
2017-02-07 @ Texas Longhorns L 65 - 67
2017-02-11 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 80 - 64
2017-02-15 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 87 - 79
2017-02-18 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 84 - 71
2017-02-20 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 82 - 80
2017-02-25 vs Baylor Bears W 72 - 69
2017-02-28 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 86 - 83
2017-03-03 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 76 - 87
2017-03-09 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 92 - 83
2017-03-10 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 84 - 63
2017-03-11 @ West Virginia Mountaineers W 80 - 74
2017-03-16 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 84 - 73
2017-03-18 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 76 - 80

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Monte Morris Monte Morris G 22 35.0 17.8 5.3 6.2 1.6 0.4 1.5 12.4 17.4 165 27 6.1 11.1 47.3 40.7 76.2 4.39 65.0 53.7
Nazareth Mitrou-Long Nazareth Mitrou-Long G 22 32.7 15.6 4.7 2.7 1.1 0.0 1.5 10.0 12.7 126 27 4.7 8.8 46.4 37.8 78.0 -1.28 72.3 58.6
Deonte Burton Deonte Burton G 22 28.8 14.6 6.0 2.0 1.7 1.2 2.4 11.2 12.0 155 27 5.7 11.5 46.7 37.9 66.7 4.54 58.0 51.8
D. Thomas D. Thomas G 22 31.3 12.5 4.1 2.0 0.8 0.1 1.0 7.9 10.6 164 27 6.1 11.7 47.1 44.1 100.0 3.97 72.2 61.2
Darrell Bowie Darrell Bowie F 20 18.1 7.1 4.5 0.8 0.8 0.5 1.3 4.4 8.0 65 23 2.8 10.7 53.4 28.6 42.9 0.5 64.8 54.5
Donovan Jackson Donovan Jackson G 22 16.0 6.2 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.7 3.8 4.2 53 21 2.5 14.3 48.2 48.9 76.7 0.74 70.7 62.0
Solomon Young Solomon Young - 20 20.1 5.0 4.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 3.0 6.5 33 16 2.1 5.8 65.6 50.0 59.3 0.33 68.6 66.4
Nick Weiler-Babb Nick Weiler-Babb G 17 16.5 4.8 3.3 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.5 3.2 7.9 - - - - 51.9 46.2 80.0 - 63.1 57.4
Nick Weiler-Babb Nick Weiler-Babb - 14 16.6 3.6 3.4 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.7 8.5 - - - - 30.0 75.0 20.0 - 204.9 45.0
Merrill Holden Merrill Holden F 15 8.7 2.3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.5 53 17 3.1 14.0 52.6 0 68.4 0.06 62.1 52.6
Jakolby Long Jakolby Long F 7 5.1 1.6 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 2.3 0.9 11 5 2.2 35.9 25.0 50.0 0.0 0.51 33.5 34.4
Simeon Carter Simeon Carter F 4 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 - - - - 100.0 0 66.7 -1.76 90.4 100.0
Stuart Nezlek Stuart Nezlek C 4 2.2 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.5 - - - - 40.0 0 100.0 -0.61 51.0 40.0
Wes Greder Wes Greder G 6 1.8 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.76 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG