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2017-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Iowa State Cyclones Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 72.4% 27.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.7% 32.3% - โœ“
Margin 68.2% 31.8% -4.2 โœ“ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 71.1% 28.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 71.4% 28.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.8% 42.2% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -2 (80-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monte Morris * 42 9-17 3-5 2-4 4 6 0 1 2 23 15 -
Matt Thomas * 41 6-9 3-5 5-5 6 1 1 0 0 20 19 -
Solomon Young * 31 2-5 0-0 2-2 8 0 2 2 3 6 10 -
Nazareth Mitrou-Long * 30 5-9 4-7 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 16 12 -
Deonte Burton * 27 0-6 0-2 2-4 4 1 0 1 2 2 0 -
Nick Weiler-Babb 25 1-3 1-2 0-2 4 3 0 0 2 3 5 -
Donovan Jackson 19 2-5 1-3 4-4 0 0 2 0 1 9 5 -
Darrell Bowie 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Merrill Holden 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Smith * 42 6-18 1-2 3-6 10 1 1 0 3 16 7 -
Justin Gray * 39 5-9 1-1 5-6 3 1 0 2 1 16 12 -
Keenan Evans * 38 1-10 0-4 8-8 1 4 0 0 0 10 5 -
Niem Stevenson * 35 7-16 2-5 1-3 7 0 1 0 0 17 9 -
Aaron Ross * 21 2-4 2-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 8 8 -
Devon Thomas 26 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 6 10 -
Anthony Livingston 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Shadell Millinghaus 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
Matthew Temple 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Thomas Brandsma 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter