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Indiana St.

Season: 2026 2025 2022
Also known as: Indiana St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1044 (#194) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1050 (#260) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 986 (#539) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +7.9 (#246) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.997 (#119) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.8 More → 0.925 (#163) AdjNet +21.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.5 More → 0.929 (#162) AdjNet +21.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.3 | AdjD 69.3 More → 0.824 (#165) AdjO 86.3 | AdjD 69.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 74.2 More → 0.688 (#113) AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 74.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.680 (#230) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.667 (#238) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 346 | GP 2 More → 1053 (#284) RD 346 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs Illinois Tech W 104 - 73
2025-12-02 vs Eureka W 99 - 57

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ian Scott - 2 19.5 14.5 6.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 2.5 7.5 15.5 - - - 80.0 33.3 80.0 - 84.3 83.3
Sterling Young - 2 20.7 13.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.5 8.0 11.5 - - - 50.0 42.9 87.5 - 66.6 59.4
Derek Vorst - 1 13.8 12.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 12.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 66.7 - 56.4 50.0
Enel St. Bernard - 2 21.1 10.5 8.5 2.0 2.0 0.5 1.5 5.5 16.5 - - - 90.9 0 16.7 - 77.0 90.9
Camp Wagner - 2 19.3 10.0 4.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 4.5 - - - 38.9 40.0 0 - 55.6 55.6
Markus Harding - 2 17.8 9.0 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 5.5 11.0 - - - 54.5 0.0 66.7 - 60.2 54.5
Xavier Hall - 2 22.6 8.5 1.5 5.5 0.5 0.0 2.5 3.5 10.0 - - - 85.7 75.0 66.7 - 102.2 107.1
Jayan Walker - 2 15.6 7.5 4.5 2.5 2.5 0.0 1.5 3.5 12.0 28 2.0 7.6 85.7 50.0 66.7 0.26 90.1 92.9
Zyair Greene - 1 9.6 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 50.0 - 61.5 62.5
Bruno Alocen - 2 11.6 5.0 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.5 5.0 - - - 28.6 20.0 100.0 - 54.3 35.7
Cooper Bean - 2 10.6 5.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.5 - - - 66.7 66.7 0 - 83.3 83.3
Sivert Nordheim - 2 9.6 5.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.5 - - - 40.0 33.3 50.0 - 46.0 45.0
Jo Van Buggenhout - 1 15.5 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 0.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0.0 - 23.7 25.0
Hunter Harding - 1 14.7 2.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Caden Huttenlocker - 2 4.8 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.5 - - - 25.0 33.3 0 - 37.5 37.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG