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Eureka

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Eureka
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 784 (#622) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 745 (#623) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 860 (#711) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -23.4 (#387) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -25.8 (#732) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.114 (#730) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -27.9 More → 0.038 (#717) AdjNet -27.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -28.4 More → 0.035 (#717) AdjNet -28.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 87.7 More → 0.122 (#723) AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 87.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 81.7 More → 0.171 (#759) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 81.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.094 (#753) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.102 (#755) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 23 More → 753 (#597) RD 104 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Dominican (IL) W 90 - 85
2025-11-11 vs Monmouth (IL) L 72 - 90
2025-11-14 @ WashU L 53 - 100
2025-11-15 @ Wis.-Whitewater L 73 - 116
2025-11-18 @ Knox L 69 - 72
2025-11-20 @ Beloit L 63 - 77
2025-11-22 @ Monmouth (IL) L 61 - 86
2025-11-25 vs Blackburn W 80 - 77
2025-12-02 @ Indiana St. L 57 - 99
2025-12-03 vs St. Francis (IL) L 58 - 71
2025-12-06 vs Westminster (MO) L 79 - 96
2025-12-14 @ SIUE L 54 - 97
2025-12-15 vs Rockford L 63 - 75
2026-01-03 @ Blackburn L 90 - 102
2026-01-08 vs MUW L 67 - 99
2026-01-10 vs Lyon L 79 - 84
2026-01-14 @ Webster L 66 - 84
2026-01-17 @ Spalding W 53 - 34
2026-01-20 @ Principia L 55 - 73
2026-01-22 vs Spalding L 49 - 52
2026-01-26 vs Greenville W 130 - 125
2026-01-31 @ Westminster (MO) W 71 - 69
2026-02-05 @ Lyon L 43 - 87
2026-02-07 @ MUW L 71 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaylen Williams - 1 25.0 25.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 25.0 5.0 1 0.1 19.7 44.0 11.1 66.7 0.1 47.5 46.0
Walker Gohring - 1 34.6 23.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 15.0 14.0 27 1.4 7.6 53.3 37.5 100.0 -0.01 68.6 63.3
Elijah Goad - 1 25.2 21.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 11.0 9 0.5 4.9 35.3 41.7 80.0 -0.81 54.7 50.0
Sebastian Reed - 1 24.4 20.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 14.0 100 5.0 58.9 56.2 33.3 50.0 0.87 59.2 59.4
Semaj Roy - 1 32.9 20.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 26.0 -85 -5.3 -36.3 71.4 75.0 63.6 -1.93 84.5 92.9
Tim Lofton - 1 22.3 20.0 10.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 18.0 -29 -1.4 -17.9 44.4 0.0 66.7 -1.92 48.4 44.4
Josh Stewart - 1 33.9 19.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 18.0 73 3.8 16.5 58.3 100.0 50.0 2.56 64.9 66.7
Jaxson Provost - 18 27.4 18.2 2.1 2.4 1.3 0.0 2.6 13.8 7.7 -112 -6.2 -24.5 46.8 42.5 80.5 -0.7 58.2 53.6
Jemard Sykes II - 1 31.1 18.0 10.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 23.0 -15 -0.8 -6.5 50.0 50.0 66.7 0.12 67.6 66.7
Anthony Carter - 1 36.9 16.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 10.0 -106 -5.6 -21.3 45.5 28.6 100.0 -0.03 62.7 54.5
Noah Campbell - 1 27.9 15.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 11.0 6 0.3 1.6 54.5 50.0 100.0 -0.2 63.1 59.1
Sean LeRose - 1 28.7 15.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 6.0 -37 -2.1 -16.0 54.5 20.0 100.0 -0.41 63.1 59.1
Charles Nelson - 1 30.0 14.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 13.0 8.0 27 6.8 8.5 46.2 40.0 0 0.71 53.8 53.8
Elliot Mobley - 1 21.4 13.0 4.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 21.0 19 1.0 11.0 57.1 0 100.0 -0.0 70.7 57.1
Adam Painter - 1 28.4 12.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 14.0 104 5.5 34.4 62.5 0 50.0 -1.43 61.5 62.5
Tommy Glenn - 1 25.7 12.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 11.0 -66 -3.5 -22.6 40.0 50.0 100.0 0.55 55.1 50.0
Tahj Comeaux - 1 14.4 12.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 8.0 9 0.5 15.7 45.5 40.0 0 0.65 54.5 54.5
Sheldon Grant II - 1 15.2 12.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 9.0 -47 -2.4 -84.2 44.4 50.0 100.0 -1.73 60.7 55.6
Dae'Quan Davis - 1 22.9 11.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 9.0 -15 -0.9 -6.8 50.0 0.0 100.0 1.27 52.7 50.0
Kolton Garner - 1 32.5 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 16.0 -1.0 -20 -1.0 -7.2 25.0 18.2 0 -1.15 31.2 31.2
Russell Wright - 1 22.3 9.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 3.0 39 1.9 10.4 42.9 0 100.0 1.37 54.1 42.9
Will Schubert - 1 20.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 2.0 -68 -3.6 -31.7 42.9 50.0 0 -0.66 64.3 64.3
Devonte McCampbell - 1 37.8 9.0 7.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 16.0 28 1.4 7.4 60.0 0 50.0 1.35 58.9 60.0
Dawsyn Miller - 1 27.1 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 3.0 78 3.7 24.6 40.0 16.7 0 1.49 45.0 45.0
Isaac Busch - 1 19.4 9.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 5 0.5 7.4 50.0 100.0 100.0 0.49 78.1 62.5
Andrew Coker - 18 21.4 8.3 6.1 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 7.1 8.3 -3 -0.4 -0.8 46.5 30.2 67.9 1.26 53.8 51.6
Jaelen Leavell - 1 35.0 8.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 7.0 8.0 -1 -0.1 -0.3 57.1 0.0 0.0 -2.14 53.8 57.1
Lekendrick Morris - 1 27.0 8.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 7.0 5 0.2 1.6 37.5 0 50.0 -1.86 41.0 37.5
Ben Carter - 18 28.0 7.7 6.3 2.4 0.9 0.6 2.2 6.7 9.0 -139 -7.3 -32.9 40.0 34.1 70.6 -0.45 54.1 52.5
Justin Ugo - 1 16.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 136 8.0 61.0 75.0 0 50.0 3.33 71.7 75.0
Willie Rogers III - 1 18.8 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 -1.0 -19 -0.9 -7.4 30.0 0.0 50.0 1.61 32.2 30.0
Jackson Gurgel - 1 12.4 7.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 9.0 -47 -2.2 -58.5 28.6 16.7 100.0 -1.56 44.4 35.7
Jamile Johnson - 1 30.1 7.0 12.0 3.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 4.0 22.0 -54 -2.7 -18.7 75.0 0 12.5 0.12 46.5 75.0
Micah Bruer - 18 25.0 6.4 2.5 2.6 1.0 0.1 2.2 6.7 3.7 -179 -8.9 -45.8 33.9 26.9 73.1 -2.63 43.4 39.7
Jonah Lauff - 17 14.7 6.1 2.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.9 4.7 3.9 -73 -4.3 -30.6 45.0 42.9 83.3 -0.78 60.4 58.1
B.J. Cooley - 1 12.1 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 -21 -1.2 -17.8 33.3 0.0 80.0 -1.69 57.7 33.3
Xavier Burton - 1 18.1 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 1.0 57 5.2 35.4 50.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 46.6 50.0
DeAireus Wells - 1 19.5 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 -15 -0.8 -4.6 40.0 0.0 50.0 -1.59 44.4 40.0
Lathan Lewis - 1 24.7 5.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 -111 -6.2 -40.6 33.3 50.0 33.3 -3.28 44.3 50.0
Marlin Byron - 1 17.5 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 37 2.2 23.2 66.7 50.0 0.0 -0.42 72.7 83.3
Brandon Tully - 1 15.2 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 -4.0 -17 -0.8 -25.5 15.4 8.3 0 -1.75 19.2 19.2
Gavin Hendrix - 1 15.2 5.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 -46 -2.9 -22.5 50.0 0 75.0 -1.63 66.5 50.0
Damuzha Moore - 1 14.4 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 -89 -8.9 -250.7 40.0 100.0 0.0 0.17 42.5 50.0
Max Richardson - 18 18.7 4.6 2.4 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.9 3.9 3.8 -86 -4.5 -33.7 40.0 26.3 70.0 -0.48 49.3 43.6
Nbaye Thiam - 1 5.8 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 8 0.6 25.8 33.3 0 50.0 0.7 42.0 33.3
Carl Dortch - 1 10.6 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 -2 -0.1 -0.9 66.7 0 0.0 -0.5 51.5 66.7
Denim Tuala-Fata - 1 23.9 4.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 10.0 55 2.9 27.9 33.3 0 100.0 1.83 51.5 33.3
Caleb Johnson - 1 8.1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -46 -1.7 -85.6 50.0 0.0 0 -1.2 50.0 50.0
Aydan Ayer - 1 20.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 61 2.9 16.5 20.0 50.0 0 0.05 30.0 30.0
Ryan Erdos - 1 19.7 3.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 -6 -0.4 -3.8 16.7 20.0 0 -0.23 25.0 25.0
Travis Corey - 9 6.9 2.1 1.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 1.3 - - - 37.5 0.0 70.0 - 46.6 37.5
Nkosi Constant - 1 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -14 -2.0 -47.5 100.0 0 0 -0.68 100.0 100.0
Colin DeBold - 1 15.8 2.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 -2 -0.1 -2.5 33.3 0.0 0 -0.87 33.3 33.3
Andrew Hall - 1 2.8 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -7 -1.0 -41.5 0 0 100.0 -0.7 113.6 0
Dallas Harding-Fair - 1 16.3 2.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 17 0.9 11.8 50.0 0 0 -1.7 50.0 50.0
Vladimir Marinov - 1 10.9 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 -21 -1.0 -17.5 50.0 0.0 0 -1.09 50.0 50.0
Owen Geiger - 1 12.3 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -24 -1.5 -7.0 50.0 0.0 0 0.64 50.0 50.0
Austin Walker - 1 7.3 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -39 -2.2 -13.1 100.0 0 0 -0.39 100.0 100.0
Newton Acevedo - 1 19.8 2.0 3.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 -38 -2.0 -46.0 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.87 22.5 25.0
Jacob Gonzalez - 1 12.9 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -165 -11.0 -77.2 33.3 0 0.0 -2.82 29.1 33.3
Joel Ewald - 9 5.6 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 -26 -3.7 -64.8 44.4 50.0 75.0 -1.29 69.7 66.7
Emaryon Byrd - 6 3.6 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.3 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 56.3 50.0
Dylan Logsdon - 16 9.8 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.4 -140 -7.8 -254.9 25.0 28.6 54.5 -1.21 36.5 32.1
Justous Harvey - 14 8.5 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.1 7 0.4 1.6 40.9 25.0 33.3 1.49 42.9 43.2
Colin DeLaere - 15 9.2 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.7 2.0 0.5 -43 -3.3 -41.1 23.3 0.0 57.1 -0.26 27.2 23.3
Blake Logsdon - 17 6.5 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.1 -42 -2.8 -145.9 41.2 37.5 28.6 -0.53 47.3 50.0
Will Harmon - 1 2.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Amariyae Wilson - 2 4.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 -0.5 - - - 20.0 0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Syr Rhodes - 1 2.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 8 0.5 27.7 0.0 0 50.0 -3.17 26.6 0.0
Amare Brokemond - 7 3.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 -0.4 -12 -2.4 -54.2 22.2 0 100.0 -1.57 30.4 22.2
William Burroughs V - 1 10.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -4.0 1 0.1 1.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.3 0.0 0.0
Jalen Davis - 1 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 35 3.9 73.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.96 0.0 0.0
Jacob Schafer - 1 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -15 -1.7 -19.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.15 0.0 0.0
Olin Emerson - 1 14.3 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2 0.1 1.9 0.0 0 0 -0.0 0.0 0.0
Dasan Reed - 1 2.9 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -3 -0.2 -3.5 0.0 0 0.0 -0.32 0.0 0.0
Joey Foushee - 1 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.1 -3.0 0 0 0 -0.83 0 0
Kameron Jones - 1 10.7 0.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 23 1.1 11.0 0.0 0.0 0 -1.7 0.0 0.0
Daylyn Redden - 1 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 22 2.0 35.1 0.0 0.0 0 -1.59 0.0 0.0
Isaiah Goad - 1 3.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Dylan Rhodes - 1 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -25 -1.6 -86.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.14 0.0 0.0
Kobe Jones - 1 15.2 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -3.0 -17 -4.2 -9.1 0.0 0 0 -0.16 0.0 0.0
Roman Philips - 1 9.9 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -44 -2.6 -31.3 0.0 0 0 0.86 0.0 0.0
Carlitos Sanchez - 1 14.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 10 0.6 6.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.15 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG