Illinois Tech Scarlet Hawks
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 891 (#543) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 876 (#523) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 818 (#743) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.0 (#301) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -22.9 (#710) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.115 (#726) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.820 (#20) | NetEff +13.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.084 (#659) | AdjNet -20.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.082 (#659) | AdjNet -20.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.202 (#657) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 81.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.193 (#744) | AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 80.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.122 (#729) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.126 (#732) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 728 (#609) | RD 92 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | @ | Indiana St. | L | 73 - 104 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Trine | L | 66 - 86 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Rose-Hulman | L | 72 - 73 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Lake Forest | L | 74 - 87 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Lakeland | W | 92 - 77 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Aurora | L | 77 - 103 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Rockford | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Kalamazoo | W | 91 - 83 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Albion | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | St. Norbert | L | 53 - 63 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Catholic | L | 48 - 84 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Johns Hopkins | L | 50 - 75 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | UIC | L | 64 - 102 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | MSOE | L | 69 - 86 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Aurora | L | 66 - 85 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | St. Norbert | L | 52 - 82 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Concordia Chicago | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Edgewood | L | 73 - 74 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | L | 49 - 68 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Marian (WI) | L | 52 - 79 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Lakeland | L | 103 - 107 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | L | 68 - 83 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Dominican (IL) | W | 74 - 64 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | MSOE | L | 75 - 87 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrison Carter | - | 24 | 30.8 | 15.8 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 13.0 | 9.0 | -85 | -3.9 | -19.0 | 41.5 | 32.9 | 83.5 | 1.77 | 54.1 | 49.2 |
| John Davis III | - | 23 | 30.1 | 12.7 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 9.6 | 7.0 | -188 | -8.5 | -43.4 | 47.1 | 26.9 | 80.5 | -3.61 | 56.3 | 50.2 |
| Nicolas Ortiz | - | 23 | 28.6 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 8.5 | 8.0 | -78 | -3.7 | -17.8 | 42.1 | 27.8 | 87.0 | -1.75 | 54.8 | 47.2 |
| Bryce Shoto | - | 20 | 23.3 | 8.1 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 6.2 | 5.0 | -13 | -0.7 | -15.5 | 50.4 | 13.3 | 54.1 | -1.02 | 53.0 | 51.2 |
| Isaiah Dudley | - | 23 | 22.1 | 7.7 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 5.6 | 8.0 | -78 | -3.7 | -20.9 | 48.1 | 40.0 | 66.2 | -0.73 | 54.3 | 48.8 |
| Nick Galati | - | 19 | 18.4 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 3.3 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 41.9 | 31.8 | 81.5 | 0.53 | 57.7 | 53.2 |
| Obrad Kuzmanovic | - | 21 | 21.3 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 2.3 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 36.5 | 18.2 | 58.6 | -1.99 | 42.5 | 38.8 |
| Omar Salman | - | 22 | 11.6 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 1.4 | -13 | -0.7 | -10.7 | 38.9 | 40.5 | 91.7 | -0.09 | 54.3 | 50.7 |
| Owen Walsh | - | 13 | 16.1 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 1.8 | -9 | -0.8 | -11.7 | 46.2 | 18.8 | 53.8 | 0.37 | 51.4 | 50.0 |
| Igor Filipovic | - | 8 | 14.5 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 5.1 | -7 | -1.0 | -6.6 | 36.8 | 20.0 | 71.4 | -0.25 | 51.7 | 42.1 |
| James Pilapil | - | 14 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | -6 | -0.5 | -5.2 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 64.3 | 1.9 | 47.9 | 40.5 |
| Jason Pilapil | - | 20 | 7.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | -13 | -0.7 | -16.9 | 15.8 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -0.01 | 19.6 | 15.8 |
| Kalel Maxey | - | 13 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 25 | 2.3 | 198.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.83 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Zachary Yujnovich | - | 15 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | -17 | -1.3 | -103.3 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.66 | 30.7 | 25.0 |
| Alexander Baeck | - | 9 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 10 | 1.4 | 171.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.42 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG