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Holy Cross

Also known as: Holy Cross Crusaders, Holy Cross
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

57.0
PPG
55.5
Opp
+1.5
Margin
36.2%
FG%
26.3%
3P%
77.8%
FT%
37.5
RPG
11.0
APG
16.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.7
Adj PPG
63.8
Adj Opp PPG
#232
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 773 (#286) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 898 (#239) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 919 (#285) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -4.5 (#233) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -5.4 (#245) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.359 (#229) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.7 More โ†’ 0.269 (#244) AdjNet -8.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.7 More โ†’ 0.267 (#245) AdjNet -8.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.7 | AdjD 63.8 More โ†’ 0.406 (#232) AdjO 59.7 | AdjD 63.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 65.7 More โ†’ 0.413 (#253) AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.322 (#262) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.324 (#267) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 158 | GP 30 More โ†’ 850 (#274) RD 158 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 46 - 45
2012-11-10 vs UTSA Roadrunners L 56 - 60
2012-11-11 @ Morgan State Bears W 74 - 73
2012-11-14 vs Maine Black Bears W 57 - 54
2012-11-21 @ St. John's Red Storm L 53 - 65
2012-11-24 vs New Hampshire Wildcats W 60 - 50
2012-11-27 @ Providence Friars L 42 - 61
2012-12-01 @ Hartford Hawks L 45 - 48
2012-12-05 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 83 - 78
2012-12-08 vs Dartmouth Big Green W 67 - 56
2012-12-18 @ San Francisco Dons W 73 - 63
2012-12-22 @ Harvard Crimson L 65 - 72
2012-12-29 @ Boston College Eagles L 60 - 70
2013-01-04 vs Yale Bulldogs L 54 - 61
2013-01-08 vs Columbia Lions W 78 - 69
2013-01-12 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 47 - 79
2013-01-16 @ Navy Midshipmen W 62 - 47
2013-01-19 vs American University Eagles W 79 - 60
2013-01-23 @ Lafayette Leopards L 53 - 63
2013-01-26 vs Bucknell Bison L 58 - 65
2013-01-30 vs Army Black Knights L 66 - 80
2013-02-02 @ Colgate Raiders L 45 - 63
2013-02-09 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 61 - 68
2013-02-12 vs Navy Midshipmen W 66 - 57
2013-02-17 @ American University Eagles L 61 - 64
2013-02-20 vs Lafayette Leopards L 76 - 79
2013-02-24 @ Bucknell Bison L 57 - 74
2013-02-27 @ Army Black Knights L 62 - 69
2013-03-02 vs Colgate Raiders W 74 - 59
2013-03-06 @ Lafayette Leopards L 54 - 77

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dave Dudzinski Dave Dudzinski F 30 29.0 15.2 6.6 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.6 21.1 -31 19 -1.6 -2.5 50.0 37.5 72.2 2.11 408.6 53.1
Justin Burrell Justin Burrell G 30 29.9 12.1 2.0 3.7 0.5 0.1 2.8 1.7 13.7 -108 19 -5.7 -8.3 46.2 38.9 94.1 -2.0 304.3 52.9
Phil Beans Phil Beans C 28 23.7 9.0 3.7 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.6 12.2 -74 17 -4.4 -7.7 55.6 40.0 85.7 -2.2 595.4 66.7
Cullen Hamilton Cullen Hamilton G 30 24.6 6.3 2.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.0 0.7 8.7 -106 19 -5.6 -10.0 28.6 29.4 75.0 -4.61 387.4 40.5
Jordan Stevens Jordan Stevens G 30 29.2 5.7 2.4 2.5 0.8 0.2 1.8 1.2 8.7 -44 19 -2.3 -3.6 25.0 26.1 80.0 2.0 225.1 33.3
Malcolm Miller Malcolm Miller F 27 26.8 5.7 5.4 1.6 0.6 0.8 1.7 0.6 11.8 -71 16 -4.4 -7.2 40.0 33.3 63.6 -3.26 385.6 46.7
Eric Obeysekere Eric Obeysekere F 23 17.0 4.1 4.7 0.5 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.2 9.7 -42 15 -2.8 -7.3 40.0 0 50.0 -0.51 702.7 40.0
De'Vaughn Reid De'Vaughn Reid G 7 8.9 2.4 0.7 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.9 0.0 4.1 - - - - 0 0 0 1.51 0 0
Dee Goens Dee Goens G 30 13.0 2.3 1.6 1.6 0.4 0.0 1.0 0.2 4.7 -26 19 -1.4 -4.5 0.0 0 50.0 -0.33 578.2 0.0
Taylor Abt Taylor Abt F 22 11.7 2.0 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.5 3.5 -41 14 -2.9 -11.1 36.4 25.0 0 -1.18 195.5 40.9
Christopher Morgan Christopher Morgan F 16 8.1 1.4 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.1 2.2 -14 12 -1.2 -6.6 0.0 0 0 -1.1 575.0 0.0
Chris Jayne Chris Jayne - 4 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Isaiah Baker Isaiah Baker F 4 5.2 0.2 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 3.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.45 0 0
Patrick Kerrigan Patrick Kerrigan - 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG