High Point
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 901 (#217) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 896 (#249) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1000 (#167) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -4.0 (#231) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -2.8 (#209) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.420 (#202) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.326 (#228) | AdjNet -6.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.325 (#228) | AdjNet -6.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.418 (#229) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 70.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.481 (#182) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 68.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.416 (#214) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.429 (#210) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 930 (#215) | RD 162 | GP 25 |
2012 Schedule & Results
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Barbour
|
G | 27 | 32.8 | 20.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 21.1 | -15 | 25 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 51.7 | 57.8 | 78.8 | -2.2 | 248.5 | 66.3 |
Shay Shine
|
G | 27 | 31.5 | 15.8 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 21.5 | 0 | 25 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.6 | 46.4 | 90.9 | 0.09 | 278.4 | 62.1 |
Corey Law
|
F | 26 | 25.3 | 10.1 | 7.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 16.7 | 12 | 24 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 64.9 | 0 | 38.9 | 0.07 | 292.7 | 64.9 |
Xavier Martin
|
G | 27 | 20.5 | 5.6 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 6.7 | 37 | 25 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 42.6 | 41.7 | 35.0 | 0.59 | 134.4 | 47.9 |
Branimir Mikulic
|
F | 26 | 28.4 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 8.5 | -4 | 25 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 33.3 | 32.0 | 83.3 | -0.62 | 190.8 | 45.5 |
Devante Wallace
|
G | 27 | 15.2 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.3 | -32 | 25 | -1.3 | -3.8 | 34.6 | 16.7 | 66.7 | -2.61 | 228.8 | 36.5 |
Justin Cheek
|
G | 24 | 16.2 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 13 | 23 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 31.2 | 35.3 | 71.4 | -0.5 | 141.1 | 40.6 |
Jairus Simms
|
G | 26 | 15.8 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4.5 | -42 | 23 | -1.8 | -4.9 | 37.9 | 50.0 | 60.0 | -1.76 | 110.8 | 39.7 |
Travis Elliott
|
C | 27 | 18.2 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 5.7 | -22 | 25 | -0.9 | -2.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.08 | 150.2 | 33.3 |
Tre Duncan
|
G | 7 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 200.0 | 75.0 |
Quincy Drye
|
G | 8 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.41 | 200.0 | 0.0 |
Landon Harris
|
F | 17 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 6 | 16 | 0.4 | 4.9 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.68 | 160.0 | 60.0 |
Georges Massoda
|
F | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG