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High Point

Also known as: High Point Panthers
Program History

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 901 (#217) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 896 (#249) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1000 (#167) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -4.0 (#231) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -2.8 (#209) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.420 (#202) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.3 More โ†’ 0.326 (#228) AdjNet -6.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.3 More โ†’ 0.325 (#228) AdjNet -6.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 70.7 More โ†’ 0.418 (#229) AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 70.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 68.9 More โ†’ 0.481 (#182) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 68.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.416 (#214) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.429 (#210) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 162 | GP 25 More โ†’ 930 (#215) RD 162 | GP 25

2012 Schedule & Results

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nick Barbour Nick Barbour G 27 32.8 20.6 2.7 1.4 1.1 0.3 1.7 3.3 21.1 -15 25 -0.6 -0.8 51.7 57.8 78.8 -2.2 248.5 66.3
Shay Shine Shay Shine G 27 31.5 15.8 5.4 3.0 1.3 0.4 2.1 2.3 21.5 0 25 0.0 0.0 51.6 46.4 90.9 0.09 278.4 62.1
Corey Law Corey Law F 26 25.3 10.1 7.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.4 1.4 16.7 12 24 0.5 0.8 64.9 0 38.9 0.07 292.7 64.9
Xavier Martin Xavier Martin G 27 20.5 5.6 1.7 2.6 0.4 0.1 1.8 1.7 6.7 37 25 1.5 3.1 42.6 41.7 35.0 0.59 134.4 47.9
Branimir Mikulic Branimir Mikulic F 26 28.4 5.2 4.1 1.0 0.3 0.3 1.2 1.3 8.5 -4 25 -0.2 -0.3 33.3 32.0 83.3 -0.62 190.8 45.5
Devante Wallace Devante Wallace G 27 15.2 4.6 3.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.0 7.3 -32 25 -1.3 -3.8 34.6 16.7 66.7 -2.61 228.8 36.5
Justin Cheek Justin Cheek G 24 16.2 4.1 1.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 1.3 4.2 13 23 0.6 1.7 31.2 35.3 71.4 -0.5 141.1 40.6
Jairus Simms Jairus Simms G 26 15.8 2.8 1.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 1.3 1.1 4.5 -42 23 -1.8 -4.9 37.9 50.0 60.0 -1.76 110.8 39.7
Travis Elliott Travis Elliott C 27 18.2 2.6 3.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.8 5.7 -22 25 -0.9 -2.1 33.3 0 33.3 0.08 150.2 33.3
Tre Duncan Tre Duncan G 7 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.7 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 0.28 200.0 75.0
Quincy Drye Quincy Drye G 8 2.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 0.41 200.0 0.0
Landon Harris Landon Harris F 17 4.6 0.9 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.9 6 16 0.4 4.9 60.0 0.0 0 0.68 160.0 60.0
Georges Massoda Georges Massoda F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG