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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model UNC Asheville Bulldogs High Point Panthers Spread Result
Elo 73.0% 27.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.5% 33.5% - โœ“
Margin 69.8% 30.2% -4.6 โœ“ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.9% 41.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.0% 18.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.1% 17.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“

Actual: High Point Panthers -7 (79-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.P. Primm * 33 6-10 2-5 2-4 2 3 1 0 3 16 9 -
Matt Dickey * 33 3-9 1-4 9-10 1 2 2 0 4 16 8 -
Chris Stephenson * 33 6-10 0-2 1-1 3 2 0 0 4 13 4 -
Jeremy Atkinson * 28 7-9 0-0 5-6 8 1 1 0 1 19 19 -
Quinard Jackson * 27 5-5 1-1 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 11 9 -
Jaron Lane 19 3-3 0-0 5-5 6 2 2 0 4 11 14 -
Trent Meyer 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 0 3 -
Jeremy Harn 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Keith Hornsby 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

High Point Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Barbour * 32 10-16 7-10 6-7 3 1 3 0 1 33 23 -
Branimir Mikulic * 30 0-1 0-1 0-0 7 3 1 1 2 0 9 -
Shay Shine * 29 6-13 2-8 1-1 2 6 0 1 5 15 6 -
Corey Law * 23 6-6 0-0 2-3 1 0 2 1 2 14 10 -
Xavier Martin * 20 1-7 1-3 1-4 1 3 0 0 3 4 -2 -
Devante Wallace 19 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
Travis Elliott 17 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Justin Cheek 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
Jairus Simms 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
Landon Harris 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter