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Georgia State

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

2014 Team Stats (4 games)

70.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
46.7%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
76.0%
FT%
30.3
RPG
12.3
APG
6.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.1
Adj PPG
68.0
Adj Opp PPG
#72
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1228 (#34) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1141 (#77) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1117 (#37) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +7.2 (#79) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +8.3 (#63) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.795 (#33) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.5 More โ†’ 0.750 (#83) AdjNet +9.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.6 More โ†’ 0.752 (#84) AdjNet +9.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 68.0 More โ†’ 0.656 (#72) AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 68.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 64.9 More โ†’ 0.672 (#36) AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 64.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.721 (#63) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.724 (#57) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1163 (#64) RD 119 | GP 32

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-09 vs Southern Polytechnic Hornets W 97 - 78
2013-11-12 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 80 - 86
2013-11-18 vs McNeese Cowboys W 96 - 70
2013-11-19 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 58 - 75
2013-11-25 vs Canisius Golden Griffins L 71 - 79
2013-11-26 @ Elon Phoenix L 85 - 90
2013-11-30 @ Florida International Panthers L 60 - 61
2013-12-04 vs Young Harris Mountain Lions W 71 - 54
2013-12-07 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 65 - 75
2013-12-14 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 79 - 73
2013-12-20 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 73 - 61
2013-12-22 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 99 - 68
2013-12-29 @ East Carolina Pirates W 89 - 82
2014-01-02 vs Troy Trojans W 81 - 72
2014-01-04 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 73 - 63
2014-01-09 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 77 - 54
2014-01-16 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 73 - 72
2014-01-18 vs Little Rock Trojans W 99 - 73
2014-01-23 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 77 - 70
2014-01-25 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 66 - 58
2014-01-30 vs South Alabama Jaguars - Postponed
2014-02-01 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 101 - 91
2014-02-03 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 85 - 65
2014-02-06 @ Little Rock Trojans W 68 - 57
2014-02-13 vs Texas State Bobcats - Postponed
2014-02-15 @ Troy Trojans L 81 - 85
2014-02-17 vs Texas State Bobcats W 68 - 41
2014-02-20 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 75 - 60
2014-02-22 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 80 - 77
2014-02-27 @ UT Arlington Mavericks W 77 - 49
2014-03-01 @ Texas State Bobcats W 66 - 55
2014-03-04 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves W 79 - 76
2014-03-08 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 73 - 55
2014-03-15 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 72 - 45
2014-03-16 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 81 - 82
2014-03-18 @ Clemson Tigers L 66 - 78

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R.J. Hunter R.J. Hunter G 26 33.0 17.9 4.7 1.8 1.7 0.8 1.3 5.0 20.6 258 29 8.9 11.8 40.3 35.5 88.1 1.5 150.0 50.8
Ryan Harrow Ryan Harrow G 27 33.9 17.8 2.7 4.3 1.3 0.1 1.6 6.6 17.9 291 30 9.7 12.7 46.9 24.2 75.9 3.32 118.4 49.2
Manny Atkins Manny Atkins F 27 34.1 14.3 6.1 1.6 1.3 0.7 1.3 3.7 19.1 262 30 8.7 11.5 51.5 44.9 79.5 2.22 163.8 62.4
Devonta White Devonta White G 27 33.1 11.4 2.8 4.1 1.1 0.0 1.8 3.2 14.4 250 30 8.3 11.1 33.7 22.7 75.0 1.18 143.3 36.6
Curtis Washington Curtis Washington F 26 23.2 8.0 6.2 0.1 0.3 2.7 0.6 2.2 14.4 120 29 4.1 8.1 61.4 0 50.0 -3.27 161.6 61.4
Markus Crider Markus Crider F 26 16.7 3.2 3.3 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.5 1.1 6.3 154 29 5.3 14.2 34.5 0 61.5 1.08 119.5 34.5
Isaiah Dennis Isaiah Dennis G 1 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Rashaad Richardson Rashaad Richardson G 22 11.5 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.8 3 24 0.1 0.6 41.7 33.3 0.0 -2.64 76.8 52.8
Kevin Shaw Kevin Shaw G 8 2.6 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6 7 9 0.8 16.2 0 0 0 0.42 0 0
Jaylen Hinton Jaylen Hinton G 22 7.9 1.5 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.9 55 24 2.3 13.7 25.0 0 60.0 2.14 258.1 25.0
LaRon Smith LaRon Smith F 13 4.0 1.2 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 2.4 2 14 0.1 2.2 0.0 0 25.0 -1.38 289.9 0.0
T.J. Shipes T.J. Shipes F 24 8.0 1.0 1.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 2.6 11 26 0.4 2.3 80.0 0 75.0 -4.43 170.1 80.0
Darius Sharpe Darius Sharpe G 4 1.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.55 0 0
Denny Burguillos Denny Burguillos F 15 6.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.3 41 20 2.0 16.0 0.0 0 50.0 -0.59 239.4 0.0
Ryann Green Ryann Green G 18 4.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3 3 21 0.1 1.3 100.0 0 0 -2.73 225.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG