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Georgia State

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

2018 Team Stats (4 games)

68.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
46.0%
FG%
37.6%
3P%
77.0%
FT%
32.0
RPG
10.8
APG
11.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.1
Adj PPG
67.6
Adj Opp PPG
#109
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1142 (#91) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1079 (#114) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1073 (#68) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +4.4 (#113) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +4.7 (#110) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.726 (#59) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.5 More โ†’ 0.679 (#113) AdjNet +6.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.5 More โ†’ 0.679 (#113) AdjNet +6.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 67.6 More โ†’ 0.601 (#109) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 67.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 68.2 More โ†’ 0.612 (#78) AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 68.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.650 (#95) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.652 (#94) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1104 (#100) RD 110 | GP 33

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Carver College Cougars W 90 - 50
2017-11-14 @ Rice Owls W 75 - 54
2017-11-17 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 72 - 77
2017-11-20 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 68 - 50
2017-11-22 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers L 56 - 71
2017-11-26 vs Tulane Green Wave W 70 - 59
2017-11-29 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 63 - 53
2017-12-04 vs Liberty Flames L 74 - 77
2017-12-09 vs Montana Grizzlies W 71 - 68
2017-12-12 vs Point Skyhawks W 90 - 70
2017-12-16 @ Dayton Flyers L 83 - 88
2017-12-20 @ Massachusetts Minutemen W 71 - 63
2017-12-23 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 71 - 48
2017-12-29 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 64 - 86
2017-12-31 @ Troy Trojans L 66 - 68
2018-01-04 vs Little Rock Trojans W 73 - 64
2018-01-06 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 79 - 75
2018-01-11 @ App State Mountaineers W 71 - 58
2018-01-13 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 72 - 58
2018-01-20 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 83 - 66
2018-01-25 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 81 - 75
2018-01-27 vs Texas State Bobcats W 54 - 50
2018-02-01 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves W 77 - 66
2018-02-03 @ Little Rock Trojans W 81 - 51
2018-02-08 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 106 - 92
2018-02-10 vs UL Monroe Warhawks L 82 - 90
2018-02-16 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 80 - 85
2018-02-22 @ Texas State Bobcats W 77 - 50
2018-02-24 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 81 - 89
2018-03-01 vs Troy Trojans L 70 - 83
2018-03-03 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 90 - 75
2018-03-09 vs Troy Trojans W 73 - 51
2018-03-10 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 73 - 67
2018-03-11 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 74 - 61
2018-03-16 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 53 - 68

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D'Marcus Simonds D'Marcus Simonds G 32 35.3 21.8 5.9 4.2 1.7 0.7 3.7 3.8 26.7 180 26 6.9 8.4 48.4 25.0 81.0 3.8 247.7 50.8
Devin Mitchell Devin Mitchell G 32 28.5 11.3 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.2 1.2 2.2 12.8 132 26 5.1 7.5 43.7 44.9 55.6 1.22 241.5 59.2
Jeff Thomas Jeff Thomas F 32 32.0 10.8 4.2 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 2.2 14.7 185 26 7.1 9.6 49.3 42.4 86.7 3.48 221.6 59.2
Malik Benlevi Malik Benlevi F 32 35.2 9.6 6.4 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.7 1.6 17.9 126 26 4.8 5.8 40.0 33.3 66.7 -1.88 285.4 52.0
Isaiah Williams Isaiah Williams G 31 19.6 7.5 1.4 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.9 1.7 8.2 113 25 4.5 8.9 47.2 53.6 95.5 1.57 186.7 61.3
Jordan Session Jordan Session F 32 25.9 7.1 5.9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 13.7 134 26 5.2 8.0 65.9 0.0 44.4 -1.21 218.6 65.9
Kane Williams Kane Williams G 31 11.0 3.8 1.4 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.9 0.3 6.0 -3 26 -0.1 -0.5 55.6 0.0 62.5 -2.99 364.7 55.6
Jordan Tyson Jordan Tyson F 32 10.2 2.0 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.4 3.8 -13 26 -0.5 -2.3 66.7 0 33.3 -5.82 236.5 66.7
Josh Linder Josh Linder F 18 5.1 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 2.6 -6 15 -0.4 -4.4 0.0 0 0 -0.81 725.0 0.0
Matt Chism Matt Chism G 9 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 -19 8 -2.4 -57.5 100.0 0 0 -3.39 250.0 100.0
Denis Alibegovic Denis Alibegovic G 11 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 -15 10 -1.5 -46.5 0.0 0.0 0 -2.66 250.0 0.0
Nile Felton Nile Felton G 8 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -11 8 -1.4 -40.9 0 0 0 -2.07 0 0
Chris Clerkley Chris Clerkley F 14 2.9 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 -18 11 -1.6 -25.3 0 0 0 -3.52 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG