Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.5% | 15.5% | -9.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -11 (66-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Marcus Simonds * | 39 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Malik Benlevi * | 38 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Jeff Thomas * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Devin Mitchell * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Session * | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Isaiah Williams | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Tyson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kane Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Linder | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Eaton * | 35 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Deven Simms * | 33 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 8-12 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Ty Cockfield * | 26 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Tamas Bruce * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Tristin Walley * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Grantham Gillard | 22 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Rashad Lindsey | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Salif Boudie | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Connor Kern | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jake Scoggins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter