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Georgia State

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

2014 Team Stats (4 games)

70.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
46.7%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
76.0%
FT%
30.3
RPG
12.3
APG
6.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.1
Adj PPG
68.0
Adj Opp PPG
#72
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1228 (#34) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1141 (#77) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1117 (#37) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +7.2 (#79) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +8.3 (#63) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.795 (#33) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.5 More โ†’ 0.750 (#83) AdjNet +9.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.6 More โ†’ 0.752 (#84) AdjNet +9.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 68.0 More โ†’ 0.656 (#72) AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 68.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 64.9 More โ†’ 0.672 (#36) AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 64.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.721 (#63) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.724 (#57) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1163 (#64) RD 119 | GP 32

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-09 vs Southern Polytechnic Hornets W 97 - 78
2013-11-12 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 80 - 86
2013-11-18 vs McNeese Cowboys W 96 - 70
2013-11-19 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 58 - 75
2013-11-25 vs Canisius Golden Griffins L 71 - 79
2013-11-26 @ Elon Phoenix L 85 - 90
2013-11-30 @ Florida International Panthers L 60 - 61
2013-12-04 vs Young Harris Mountain Lions W 71 - 54
2013-12-07 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 65 - 75
2013-12-14 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 79 - 73
2013-12-20 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 73 - 61
2013-12-22 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 99 - 68
2013-12-29 @ East Carolina Pirates W 89 - 82
2014-01-02 vs Troy Trojans W 81 - 72
2014-01-04 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 73 - 63
2014-01-09 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 77 - 54
2014-01-16 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 73 - 72
2014-01-18 vs Little Rock Trojans W 99 - 73
2014-01-23 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 77 - 70
2014-01-25 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 66 - 58
2014-01-30 vs South Alabama Jaguars - Postponed
2014-02-01 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 101 - 91
2014-02-03 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 85 - 65
2014-02-06 @ Little Rock Trojans W 68 - 57
2014-02-13 vs Texas State Bobcats - Postponed
2014-02-15 @ Troy Trojans L 81 - 85
2014-02-17 vs Texas State Bobcats W 68 - 41
2014-02-20 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 75 - 60
2014-02-22 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 80 - 77
2014-02-27 @ UT Arlington Mavericks W 77 - 49
2014-03-01 @ Texas State Bobcats W 66 - 55
2014-03-04 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves W 79 - 76
2014-03-08 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 73 - 55
2014-03-15 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 72 - 45
2014-03-16 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 81 - 82
2014-03-18 @ Clemson Tigers L 66 - 78

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R.J. Hunter R.J. Hunter G 26 33.0 17.9 4.7 1.8 1.7 0.8 1.3 5.0 20.6 258 29 8.9 11.8 40.3 35.5 88.1 1.5 150.0 50.8
Ryan Harrow Ryan Harrow G 27 33.9 17.8 2.7 4.3 1.3 0.1 1.6 6.6 17.9 291 30 9.7 12.7 46.9 24.2 75.9 3.32 118.4 49.2
Manny Atkins Manny Atkins F 27 34.1 14.3 6.1 1.6 1.3 0.7 1.3 3.7 19.1 262 30 8.7 11.5 51.5 44.9 79.5 2.22 163.8 62.4
Devonta White Devonta White G 27 33.1 11.4 2.8 4.1 1.1 0.0 1.8 3.2 14.4 250 30 8.3 11.1 33.7 22.7 75.0 1.18 143.3 36.6
Curtis Washington Curtis Washington F 26 23.2 8.0 6.2 0.1 0.3 2.7 0.6 2.2 14.4 120 29 4.1 8.1 61.4 0 50.0 -3.27 161.6 61.4
Markus Crider Markus Crider F 26 16.7 3.2 3.3 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.5 1.1 6.3 154 29 5.3 14.2 34.5 0 61.5 1.08 119.5 34.5
Isaiah Dennis Isaiah Dennis G 1 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Rashaad Richardson Rashaad Richardson G 22 11.5 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.8 3 24 0.1 0.6 41.7 33.3 0.0 -2.64 76.8 52.8
Kevin Shaw Kevin Shaw G 8 2.6 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6 7 9 0.8 16.2 0 0 0 0.42 0 0
Jaylen Hinton Jaylen Hinton G 22 7.9 1.5 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.9 55 24 2.3 13.7 25.0 0 60.0 2.14 258.1 25.0
LaRon Smith LaRon Smith F 13 4.0 1.2 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 2.4 2 14 0.1 2.2 0.0 0 25.0 -1.38 289.9 0.0
T.J. Shipes T.J. Shipes F 24 8.0 1.0 1.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 2.6 11 26 0.4 2.3 80.0 0 75.0 -4.43 170.1 80.0
Darius Sharpe Darius Sharpe G 4 1.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.55 0 0
Denny Burguillos Denny Burguillos F 15 6.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.3 41 20 2.0 16.0 0.0 0 50.0 -0.59 239.4 0.0
Ryann Green Ryann Green G 18 4.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3 3 21 0.1 1.3 100.0 0 0 -2.73 225.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG