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Georgia State

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

61.0
PPG
70.0
Opp
-9.0
Margin
41.3%
FG%
31.3%
3P%
73.3%
FT%
33.5
RPG
8.5
APG
12.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.8
Adj PPG
66.0
Adj Opp PPG
#190
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1001 (#170) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 944 (#203) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1001 (#175) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -1.3 (#191) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +0.7 (#158) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.516 (#158) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.4 More โ†’ 0.459 (#179) AdjNet -1.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.4 More โ†’ 0.459 (#179) AdjNet -1.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 66.0 More โ†’ 0.473 (#190) AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 66.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 66.4 More โ†’ 0.526 (#142) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 66.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.481 (#182) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.492 (#177) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 180 | GP 30 More โ†’ 936 (#215) RD 180 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Duke Blue Devils L 55 - 74
2012-11-13 @ BYU Cougars L 62 - 80
2012-11-19 vs Monmouth Hawks W 62 - 49
2012-11-20 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 59 - 57
2012-11-21 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 75 - 73
2012-11-26 vs East Carolina Pirates L 53 - 62
2012-11-30 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 68 - 86
2012-12-02 @ Liberty Flames W 67 - 66
2012-12-08 vs Southern Polytechnic Hornets W 86 - 58
2012-12-15 @ Troy Trojans L 56 - 57
2012-12-18 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 67 - 69
2012-12-22 @ Rhode Island Rams L 60 - 65
2012-12-29 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 64 - 68
2013-01-02 vs Drexel Dragons L 60 - 77
2013-01-05 vs James Madison Dukes W 68 - 52
2013-01-07 @ Hofstra Pride L 50 - 52
2013-01-12 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 83 - 86
2013-01-16 vs William & Mary Tribe W 74 - 58
2013-01-19 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 69 - 54
2013-01-21 @ Towson Tigers W 71 - 69
2013-01-23 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 81 - 63
2013-01-26 @ Drexel Dragons L 57 - 68
2013-01-30 @ Northeastern Huskies W 78 - 73
2013-02-02 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 83 - 63
2013-02-06 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 72 - 76
2013-02-09 vs Towson Tigers L 82 - 90
2013-02-13 vs Hofstra Pride W 61 - 43
2013-02-16 @ George Mason Patriots W 78 - 60
2013-02-18 @ William & Mary Tribe L 63 - 75
2013-02-23 @ James Madison Dukes W 66 - 62
2013-02-27 vs Northeastern Huskies L 84 - 90

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R.J. Hunter R.J. Hunter G 31 33.5 17.0 5.1 1.8 1.7 0.8 1.7 3.1 21.7 3 25 0.1 0.2 32.6 26.0 87.1 0.98 242.5 39.5
Devonta White Devonta White G 31 36.2 14.8 2.8 3.9 1.7 0.0 3.0 2.8 17.4 -33 25 -1.3 -1.6 43.7 37.9 75.0 -2.98 215.3 50.0
Manny Atkins Manny Atkins F 31 35.8 14.2 6.7 2.2 1.5 0.3 2.2 2.7 20.0 16 25 0.6 0.8 47.1 33.3 91.7 2.88 230.2 52.4
Rashaad Richardson Rashaad Richardson G 31 27.0 7.3 2.7 1.1 1.2 0.0 0.7 1.5 10.1 3 25 0.1 0.2 44.4 31.0 100.0 -0.29 240.6 54.4
Cameron Solomon Cameron Solomon G 17 11.2 5.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 5.9 -1 12 -0.1 -0.3 60.0 0 25.0 0.78 391.2 60.0
James Vincent James Vincent C 31 23.5 4.8 4.9 0.5 0.4 2.3 1.0 0.8 10.9 -7 25 -0.3 -0.5 56.0 0 55.6 -1.43 255.5 56.0
Markus Crider Markus Crider F 31 17.1 3.7 3.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 1.2 0.6 6.7 5 25 0.2 0.5 42.1 0.0 57.1 0.74 230.5 42.1
David Travers David Travers G 26 8.8 2.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.6 29 22 1.3 6.7 30.8 42.9 50.0 0.95 183.7 42.3
Denny Burguillos Denny Burguillos F 17 12.9 1.6 2.5 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 4.3 -37 12 -3.1 -10.7 25.0 0 75.0 -2.82 243.1 25.0
Kevin Shaw Kevin Shaw G 6 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
LaRon Smith LaRon Smith F 8 6.2 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 1.8 15 6 2.5 14.5 0 0 0 0.26 0 0
T.J. Shipes T.J. Shipes F 20 5.4 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.1 -20 16 -1.2 -9.2 0.0 0 0.0 -3.48 239.4 0.0
Tyler Gamble Tyler Gamble - 5 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ryann Green Ryann Green G 18 5.4 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.4 -32 11 -2.9 -40.4 0 0 0 -6.09 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG