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Georgia State

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

61.0
PPG
70.0
Opp
-9.0
Margin
41.3%
FG%
31.3%
3P%
73.3%
FT%
33.5
RPG
8.5
APG
12.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.8
Adj PPG
66.0
Adj Opp PPG
#190
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1001 (#170) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 944 (#203) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1001 (#175) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -1.3 (#191) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +0.7 (#158) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.516 (#158) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.4 More โ†’ 0.459 (#179) AdjNet -1.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.4 More โ†’ 0.459 (#179) AdjNet -1.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 66.0 More โ†’ 0.473 (#190) AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 66.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 66.4 More โ†’ 0.526 (#142) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 66.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.481 (#182) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.492 (#177) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 180 | GP 30 More โ†’ 936 (#215) RD 180 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Duke Blue Devils L 55 - 74
2012-11-13 @ BYU Cougars L 62 - 80
2012-11-19 vs Monmouth Hawks W 62 - 49
2012-11-20 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 59 - 57
2012-11-21 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 75 - 73
2012-11-26 vs East Carolina Pirates L 53 - 62
2012-11-30 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 68 - 86
2012-12-02 @ Liberty Flames W 67 - 66
2012-12-08 vs Southern Polytechnic Hornets W 86 - 58
2012-12-15 @ Troy Trojans L 56 - 57
2012-12-18 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 67 - 69
2012-12-22 @ Rhode Island Rams L 60 - 65
2012-12-29 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 64 - 68
2013-01-02 vs Drexel Dragons L 60 - 77
2013-01-05 vs James Madison Dukes W 68 - 52
2013-01-07 @ Hofstra Pride L 50 - 52
2013-01-12 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 83 - 86
2013-01-16 vs William & Mary Tribe W 74 - 58
2013-01-19 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 69 - 54
2013-01-21 @ Towson Tigers W 71 - 69
2013-01-23 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 81 - 63
2013-01-26 @ Drexel Dragons L 57 - 68
2013-01-30 @ Northeastern Huskies W 78 - 73
2013-02-02 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 83 - 63
2013-02-06 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 72 - 76
2013-02-09 vs Towson Tigers L 82 - 90
2013-02-13 vs Hofstra Pride W 61 - 43
2013-02-16 @ George Mason Patriots W 78 - 60
2013-02-18 @ William & Mary Tribe L 63 - 75
2013-02-23 @ James Madison Dukes W 66 - 62
2013-02-27 vs Northeastern Huskies L 84 - 90

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R.J. Hunter R.J. Hunter G 31 33.5 17.0 5.1 1.8 1.7 0.8 1.7 3.1 21.7 3 25 0.1 0.2 32.6 26.0 87.1 0.98 242.5 39.5
Devonta White Devonta White G 31 36.2 14.8 2.8 3.9 1.7 0.0 3.0 2.8 17.4 -33 25 -1.3 -1.6 43.7 37.9 75.0 -2.98 215.3 50.0
Manny Atkins Manny Atkins F 31 35.8 14.2 6.7 2.2 1.5 0.3 2.2 2.7 20.0 16 25 0.6 0.8 47.1 33.3 91.7 2.88 230.2 52.4
Rashaad Richardson Rashaad Richardson G 31 27.0 7.3 2.7 1.1 1.2 0.0 0.7 1.5 10.1 3 25 0.1 0.2 44.4 31.0 100.0 -0.29 240.6 54.4
Cameron Solomon Cameron Solomon G 17 11.2 5.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 5.9 -1 12 -0.1 -0.3 60.0 0 25.0 0.78 391.2 60.0
James Vincent James Vincent C 31 23.5 4.8 4.9 0.5 0.4 2.3 1.0 0.8 10.9 -7 25 -0.3 -0.5 56.0 0 55.6 -1.43 255.5 56.0
Markus Crider Markus Crider F 31 17.1 3.7 3.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 1.2 0.6 6.7 5 25 0.2 0.5 42.1 0.0 57.1 0.74 230.5 42.1
David Travers David Travers G 26 8.8 2.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.6 29 22 1.3 6.7 30.8 42.9 50.0 0.95 183.7 42.3
Denny Burguillos Denny Burguillos F 17 12.9 1.6 2.5 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 4.3 -37 12 -3.1 -10.7 25.0 0 75.0 -2.82 243.1 25.0
Kevin Shaw Kevin Shaw G 6 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
LaRon Smith LaRon Smith F 8 6.2 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.0 1.8 15 6 2.5 14.5 0 0 0 0.26 0 0
T.J. Shipes T.J. Shipes F 20 5.4 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.1 -20 16 -1.2 -9.2 0.0 0 0.0 -3.48 239.4 0.0
Tyler Gamble Tyler Gamble - 5 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ryann Green Ryann Green G 18 5.4 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.4 -32 11 -2.9 -40.4 0 0 0 -6.09 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG