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Gardner-Webb Runnin'

Also known as: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
Program History

2018 Team Stats (3 games)

59.3
PPG
82.3
Opp
-23.0
Margin
37.5%
FG%
29.6%
3P%
63.2%
FT%
35.7
RPG
8.3
APG
16.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.0
Adj PPG
73.4
Adj Opp PPG
#280
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 843 (#258) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 898 (#251) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 971 (#213) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -8.1 (#280) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -5.6 (#256) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.275 (#283) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.7 More โ†’ 0.225 (#272) AdjNet -10.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.0 More โ†’ 0.219 (#273) AdjNet -11.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 73.4 More โ†’ 0.336 (#280) AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 73.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 70.5 More โ†’ 0.433 (#235) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.325 (#264) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.343 (#258) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 29 More โ†’ 848 (#279) RD 154 | GP 29

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ Miami Hurricanes L 45 - 77
2017-11-13 @ Florida Gators L 74 - 116
2017-11-15 @ UCF Knights L 65 - 68
2017-11-18 vs Warren Wilson Owls W 119 - 81
2017-11-21 vs Brevard Tornados W 93 - 70
2017-11-24 @ Wright State Raiders L 47 - 67
2017-11-25 @ Fairfield Stags L 64 - 75
2017-11-26 vs Jacksonville Dolphins L 99 - 106
2017-12-02 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 87 - 66
2017-12-06 @ Auburn Tigers L 55 - 80
2017-12-09 @ Maryland Terrapins L 60 - 82
2017-12-17 @ Hampton Pirates W 80 - 79
2017-12-20 vs Toccoa Falls Eagles W 102 - 41
2017-12-30 vs Liberty Flames W 58 - 55
2018-01-03 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 82 - 80
2018-01-06 @ Longwood Lancers L 73 - 79
2018-01-09 vs High Point Panthers W 62 - 45
2018-01-12 vs Radford Highlanders W 59 - 54
2018-01-15 @ Winthrop Eagles L 67 - 90
2018-01-18 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 61 - 53
2018-01-21 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 68 - 83
2018-01-24 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 60 - 65
2018-01-27 vs Longwood Lancers W 60 - 57
2018-02-01 @ Radford Highlanders L 66 - 70
2018-02-03 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 63 - 61
2018-02-07 vs Campbell Fighting Camels L 70 - 78
2018-02-10 @ Liberty Flames L 65 - 77
2018-02-15 vs Winthrop Eagles L 71 - 90
2018-02-18 @ High Point Panthers L 65 - 66
2018-02-22 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose W 78 - 63
2018-02-24 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 72 - 61
2018-03-01 @ Winthrop Eagles L 68 - 72

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
David Efianayi David Efianayi G 25 32.1 17.5 3.4 2.4 1.4 0.2 2.4 3.0 19.5 -98 21 -4.7 -6.2 33.8 33.3 73.3 -1.4 271.1 38.5
Liam O'Reilly Liam O'Reilly F 25 33.7 14.7 4.4 3.5 0.9 0.1 2.9 2.4 18.4 -62 21 -3.0 -3.8 37.3 34.6 100.0 1.29 304.2 44.9
DJ Laster DJ Laster F 25 25.9 12.8 5.2 0.6 0.5 0.4 2.1 2.4 15.0 -34 21 -1.6 -2.8 47.5 10.0 54.5 1.05 251.4 48.3
Jaheam Cornwall Jaheam Cornwall G 22 21.0 8.0 2.1 2.1 1.0 0.0 1.6 1.0 10.7 -17 17 -1.0 -1.9 54.5 50.0 40.0 -0.34 361.6 68.2
Patrick Zeck Patrick Zeck F 20 23.1 5.2 5.0 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.7 10.8 -67 18 -3.7 -7.1 53.8 0.0 100.0 -3.09 378.2 53.8
Brandon Miller Brandon Miller C 9 17.4 5.0 3.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 1.2 0.9 7.1 -34 6 -5.7 -13.6 37.5 0 0 -3.09 281.2 37.5
Jamaal Robateau Jamaal Robateau F 16 18.2 4.3 3.1 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.8 1.6 6.9 -37 11 -3.4 -8.6 20.0 23.1 71.4 -0.9 122.9 26.0
Eric Jamison Eric Jamison ATH 22 15.1 4.2 3.5 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.6 7.4 -55 18 -3.1 -9.7 53.8 50.0 0 -2.55 353.8 57.7
Nate Johnson Nate Johnson G 11 10.9 3.6 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.4 1.2 0.7 5.0 -18 7 -2.6 -11.9 37.5 16.7 0.0 -4.11 237.0 43.8
Justin Jenkins Justin Jenkins G 14 6.4 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 2.7 - - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 375.0 62.5
Christian Turner Christian Turner G 24 20.3 2.1 1.8 2.1 1.0 0.0 1.3 0.6 5.0 -78 18 -4.3 -9.9 33.3 25.0 62.5 -3.93 135.0 36.7
L'Hassane Niangane L'Hassane Niangane F 25 16.3 1.2 4.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 1.0 0.4 5.4 -24 21 -1.1 -3.3 18.2 0 33.3 0.81 113.6 18.2
A. Shirley A. Shirley C 1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG