๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Gardner-Webb Runnin'

Also known as: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
Program History

2014 Team Stats (3 games)

68.0
PPG
76.3
Opp
-8.3
Margin
42.2%
FG%
28.9%
3P%
72.6%
FT%
35.7
RPG
10.7
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.3
Adj PPG
71.4
Adj Opp PPG
#254
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 952 (#217) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 928 (#232) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1030 (#128) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -5.8 (#259) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -4.0 (#230) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.483 (#184) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.3 More โ†’ 0.277 (#256) AdjNet -8.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.4 More โ†’ 0.274 (#256) AdjNet -8.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 71.4 More โ†’ 0.386 (#254) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 71.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 70.0 More โ†’ 0.472 (#200) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 70.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.395 (#235) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.412 (#229) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 30 More โ†’ 909 (#238) RD 150 | GP 30

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 @ Xavier Musketeers L 59 - 83
2013-11-12 @ Furman Paladins L 64 - 75
2013-11-16 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 87 - 78
2013-11-19 vs Allen Yellow Jackets W 92 - 51
2013-11-23 @ Missouri Tigers L 63 - 72
2013-11-25 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 59 - 72
2013-11-28 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 61 - 54
2013-11-29 vs Morehead State Eagles W 86 - 82
2013-12-04 vs Wofford Terriers L 62 - 65
2013-12-07 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 67 - 55
2013-12-14 vs Clearwater Christian Cougars W 106 - 54
2013-12-16 @ Duke Blue Devils L 66 - 85
2013-12-19 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 49 - 58
2013-12-21 vs Hiwassee Tigers W 90 - 54
2014-01-02 @ Delaware State Hornets L 65 - 66
2014-01-08 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 77 - 81
2014-01-11 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 69 - 81
2014-01-15 @ Winthrop Eagles W 56 - 51
2014-01-18 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose W 67 - 58
2014-01-22 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 76 - 78
2014-01-25 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 66 - 48
2014-01-29 @ Longwood Lancers W 82 - 62
2014-02-01 @ Radford Highlanders W 73 - 72
2014-02-05 vs VMI Keydets L 104 - 108
2014-02-08 vs High Point Panthers W 80 - 76
2014-02-11 @ Liberty Flames W 68 - 52
2014-02-15 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 60 - 75
2014-02-19 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 79 - 70
2014-02-22 vs Winthrop Eagles W 85 - 79
2014-02-26 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 78 - 76
2014-03-01 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 71 - 83
2014-03-05 vs Longwood Lancers W 81 - 65
2014-03-07 @ VMI Keydets L 77 - 90

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jerome Hill Jerome Hill F 22 30.0 15.4 7.9 1.3 0.6 0.5 1.9 1.8 22.0 5 15 0.3 0.5 64.1 0.0 58.6 0.2 326.5 64.1
Naji Hibbert Naji Hibbert G 3 28.7 11.3 3.3 1.7 1.0 0.0 1.3 11.3 4.7 -10 15 -0.7 -1.0 38.2 35.7 100.0 0.52 48.1 45.6
Tyler Strange Tyler Strange G 24 34.0 10.7 2.6 4.9 1.7 0.0 1.7 1.4 16.8 -26 16 -1.6 -2.2 41.2 50.0 75.0 -0.85 359.3 55.9
Donta Harper Donta Harper F 21 27.2 9.4 4.1 1.5 1.2 0.5 2.4 1.8 12.6 24 16 1.5 2.4 43.2 0 100.0 2.74 239.1 43.2
Tyrell Nelson Tyrell Nelson F 24 20.5 8.8 5.1 0.4 0.8 0.5 1.2 0.7 13.5 -66 16 -4.1 -8.6 43.8 0 60.0 -4.01 576.9 43.8
Onzie Branch Onzie Branch G 24 15.5 5.7 3.0 1.1 0.4 0.2 1.2 0.8 8.4 24 16 1.5 4.4 50.0 0.0 71.4 2.14 261.9 50.0
Isaiah Ivey Isaiah Ivey G 18 15.4 4.7 1.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 6.3 -35 11 -3.2 -9.4 16.7 20.0 100.0 -1.96 617.7 25.0
Jarvis Davis Jarvis Davis G 15 10.1 3.2 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.7 4.1 -4 10 -0.4 -1.5 40.0 0.0 100.0 -1.43 196.7 40.0
Josh Castellanos Josh Castellanos G 3 17.0 3.0 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.3 3.0 0.3 -56 16 -3.5 -7.7 22.2 0.0 83.3 -4.71 38.7 22.2
Michael Byron Michael Byron C 24 14.8 2.9 3.2 0.3 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.5 6.5 -40 16 -2.5 -7.5 36.4 0 50.0 -3.69 290.4 36.4
Logan Stumpf Logan Stumpf - 7 5.1 2.1 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 3.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Sweeney A. Sweeney G 2 5.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Donell Tuff Donell Tuff - 4 6.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.2 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Corey Hensley Corey Hensley C 6 4.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -1.73 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG