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Gardner-Webb Runnin'

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
Program History
Coach: Chris Holtmann

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 742 (#300) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 833 (#285) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 907 (#287) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -6.2 (#261) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -7.8 (#286) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.338 (#248) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.8 More → 0.223 (#271) AdjNet -10.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.9 More → 0.222 (#270) AdjNet -10.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 65.9 More → 0.373 (#258) AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 65.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.392 (#269) AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 65.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.291 (#282) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.295 (#283) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 167 | GP 27 More → 813 (#288) RD 167 | GP 27

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Clemson Tigers L 44 - 65
2011-11-13 @ Lipscomb Bisons W 74 - 71
2011-11-16 vs Lees McRae Bobcats W 91 - 61
2011-11-19 @ South Carolina State Bulldogs L 68 - 73
2011-11-21 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 49 - 73
2011-11-23 @ Butler Bulldogs L 66 - 68
2011-11-26 @ Savannah State Tigers L 66 - 72
2011-11-27 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 76 - 74
2011-12-01 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 60 - 66
2011-12-03 vs Winthrop Eagles W 62 - 60
2011-12-06 vs Alice Lloyd Eagles W 87 - 57
2011-12-10 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 87 - 57
2011-12-18 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 59 - 67
2011-12-22 @ East Carolina Pirates L 55 - 69
2011-12-31 @ Radford Highlanders W 61 - 55
2012-01-02 @ VMI Keydets L 72 - 76
2012-01-07 vs High Point Panthers W 65 - 61
2012-01-10 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 80 - 77
2012-01-14 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 68 - 74
2012-01-19 @ Winthrop Eagles L 54 - 56
2012-01-26 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 78 - 72
2012-01-28 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 56 - 70
2012-02-04 @ High Point Panthers L 77 - 81
2012-02-09 vs Radford Highlanders L 54 - 58
2012-02-14 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 58 - 73
2012-02-18 vs Delaware State Hornets W 57 - 56
2012-02-23 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 61 - 71
2012-02-25 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose L 62 - 68
2012-02-27 @ High Point Panthers L 58 - 68

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tashan Newsome Tashan Newsome G 26 26.3 11.6 6.8 1.6 0.8 0.3 1.6 3.5 15.9 -59 20 -3.0 -4.8 41.3 20.0 78.6 -0.68 144.7 42.9
Max Landis Max Landis G 28 25.8 9.4 1.3 1.5 0.6 0.0 1.6 2.8 8.4 -60 22 -2.7 -5.1 37.2 30.0 53.8 -0.15 157.7 46.8
Jason Dawson Jason Dawson G 25 21.7 9.0 2.2 1.8 1.0 0.0 1.2 2.4 10.4 -71 18 -3.9 -7.5 34.4 34.3 87.5 -0.36 164.6 44.3
Stefon Johnson Stefon Johnson F 29 26.4 7.5 6.3 0.4 0.7 0.4 1.2 1.9 12.4 -67 22 -3.0 -5.0 51.9 0 63.6 -0.92 185.2 51.9
Michael Byron Michael Byron C 29 19.1 5.8 4.7 0.3 0.1 1.1 1.2 0.8 9.9 -77 22 -3.5 -8.0 41.7 0 68.4 -1.15 259.6 41.7
Laron Buggs Laron Buggs G 29 21.1 5.7 2.5 1.5 1.0 0.1 1.6 0.9 8.3 -128 22 -5.8 -12.0 44.0 28.6 87.5 -4.38 289.3 48.0
Kevin Hartley Kevin Hartley C 29 22.3 5.7 4.1 1.1 1.0 0.2 1.7 1.4 9.1 -61 22 -2.8 -5.5 40.0 42.3 50.0 -1.21 179.8 53.8
Donta Harper Donta Harper F 29 14.4 5.1 2.3 0.7 0.8 0.2 1.6 0.8 6.7 -65 22 -3.0 -8.8 50.0 0.0 54.5 -3.39 219.7 50.0
Tyler Strange Tyler Strange G 27 20.6 4.4 1.9 3.0 1.3 0.0 1.8 1.1 7.8 6 20 0.3 0.7 50.0 41.7 60.9 1.79 149.6 58.3
David Brown David Brown G 12 7.7 3.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.2 4.1 -1 9 -0.1 -0.6 33.3 33.3 0 0.25 750.0 50.0
Santoine Butler Santoine Butler F 13 7.9 3.4 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 5.1 -5 10 -0.5 -3.9 80.0 0 0 -0.45 440.0 80.0
Corey Hensley Corey Hensley C 18 6.8 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 2.2 -2 12 -0.2 -1.2 50.0 0 66.7 0.0 481.9 50.0
Jamal Mitchell Jamal Mitchell - 6 4.5 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jay Royster Jay Royster - 4 7.0 0.5 0.2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.2 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG