Model Predictions
| Model | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | Winthrop Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | +2.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Winthrop Eagles +2 (56-54). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Strange * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Max Landis * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Michael Byron * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tashan Newsome * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Stefon Johnson * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Hartley | 26 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Donta Harper | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Laron Buggs | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Corey Hensley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| David Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Valentine * | 37 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Andre Jones * | 35 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Reggie Middleton * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| James Bourne * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Henry * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Matt Morgan | 22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Gideon Gamble | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Joab Jerome | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Andre Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shola Diop | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter