Fordham
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 819 (#240) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 823 (#257) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 959 (#199) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.1 (#243) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.3 (#212) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.361 (#200) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.185 (#250) | AdjNet -12.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.183 (#250) | AdjNet -12.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.317 (#245) | AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.429 (#201) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 67.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.308 (#231) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.329 (#223) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 857 (#227) | RD 146 | GP 26 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-12-03 | @ | Manhattan | L | 48 - 88 |
| 1994-12-08 | vs | Boston College | L | 60 - 64 |
| 1994-12-10 | vs | Iona | L | 60 - 70 |
| 1994-12-12 | vs | Boston University | L | 52 - 65 |
| 1994-12-17 | vs | Drexel | L | 57 - 64 |
| 1994-12-22 | @ | St. John's (NY) | L | 65 - 76 |
| 1994-12-30 | @ | Miami (FL) | L | 43 - 55 |
| 1995-01-07 | @ | Colgate | L | 78 - 85 |
| 1995-01-11 | @ | Lehigh | L | 62 - 71 |
| 1995-01-14 | vs | Bucknell | L | 52 - 75 |
| 1995-01-18 | @ | Lafayette | W | 69 - 62 |
| 1995-01-21 | @ | Holy Cross | W | 72 - 68 |
| 1995-01-23 | @ | Columbia | W | 85 - 57 |
| 1995-01-25 | vs | Navy | L | 60 - 62 |
| 1995-01-28 | @ | Army | W | 77 - 60 |
| 1995-02-01 | vs | Colgate | L | 69 - 85 |
| 1995-02-04 | vs | Lehigh | W | 76 - 64 |
| 1995-02-08 | @ | Bucknell | L | 56 - 75 |
| 1995-02-11 | vs | Lafayette | W | 87 - 78 |
| 1995-02-15 | vs | Holy Cross | L | 57 - 72 |
| 1995-02-18 | N | Notre Dame | W | 62 - 55 |
| 1995-02-20 | @ | Navy | L | 56 - 70 |
| 1995-02-23 | vs | Hofstra | L | 61 - 75 |
| 1995-02-25 | vs | Army | W | 84 - 45 |
| 1995-03-04 | N | Holy Cross | W | 79 - 65 |
| 1995-03-05 | N | Colgate | L | 68 - 75 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.