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Florida State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Florida State Seminoles, Florida State
Program History
Coach: Leonard Hamilton

2019 Team Stats (27 games)

74.0
PPG
67.4
Opp
+6.6
Margin
43.7%
FG%
30.7%
3P%
73.5%
FT%
37.6
RPG
12.4
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.8
Adj PPG
62.3
Adj Opp PPG
#15
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1338 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 1187 (#9) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +16.7 (#16) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +16.6 (#15) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.778 (#36) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.3 More → 0.943 (#17) AdjNet +24.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.6 More → 0.945 (#17) AdjNet +24.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 62.3 More → 0.804 (#15) AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 62.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 62.6 More → 0.741 (#15) AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 62.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.871 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.862 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 37 More → 1353 (#13) RD 94 | GP 37

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Florida Gators W 81 - 60
2018-11-11 @ Tulane Green Wave W 80 - 69
2018-11-19 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 93 - 61
2018-11-22 vs UAB Blazers W 81 - 63
2018-11-23 vs LSU Tigers W 79 - 76
2018-11-25 vs Villanova Wildcats L 60 - 66
2018-11-28 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 73 - 72
2018-12-03 vs Troy Trojans W 83 - 67
2018-12-08 @ UConn Huskies W 79 - 71
2018-12-17 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 85 - 68
2018-12-19 vs North Florida Ospreys W 95 - 81
2018-12-22 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 81 - 59
2019-01-01 vs Winthrop Eagles W 87 - 76
2019-01-05 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 52 - 65
2019-01-09 vs Miami Hurricanes W 68 - 62
2019-01-12 vs Duke Blue Devils L 78 - 80
2019-01-14 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 62 - 75
2019-01-20 @ Boston College Eagles L 82 - 87
2019-01-22 vs Clemson Tigers W 77 - 68
2019-01-27 @ Miami Hurricanes W 78 - 66
2019-02-02 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 59 - 49
2019-02-05 @ Syracuse Orange W 80 - 62
2019-02-09 vs Louisville Cardinals W 80 - 75
2019-02-13 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 88 - 66
2019-02-16 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 69 - 47
2019-02-19 @ Clemson Tigers W 77 - 64
2019-02-23 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 59 - 77
2019-02-25 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 68 - 61
2019-03-02 vs NC State Wolfpack W 78 - 73
2019-03-05 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 73 - 64
2019-03-09 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 65 - 57
2019-03-14 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 65 - 63
2019-03-15 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 69 - 59
2019-03-16 @ Duke Blue Devils L 63 - 73
2019-03-21 vs Vermont Catamounts W 76 - 69
2019-03-23 vs Murray State Racers W 90 - 62
2019-03-28 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 58 - 72

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mfiondu Kabengele Mfiondu Kabengele - 36 21.6 13.2 6.0 0.3 0.6 1.5 1.3 7.5 12.8 105 30 3.5 7.3 48.7 34.5 75.3 2.26 68.9 52.2
Terance Mann Terance Mann - 36 31.7 11.2 6.4 2.6 0.7 0.3 1.6 6.6 13.0 180 30 6.0 8.2 52.1 41.3 77.0 3.26 71.8 57.6
Trent Forrest Trent Forrest - 36 29.8 9.3 4.5 3.8 1.8 0.2 1.9 5.8 11.9 219 30 7.3 10.4 44.5 27.3 79.0 6.54 64.3 45.9
MJ Walker MJ Walker - 34 26.0 7.7 2.3 1.6 0.8 0.2 2.0 6.3 4.3 96 29 3.3 5.3 32.4 30.4 81.2 0.58 55.7 40.6
Phil Cofer Phil Cofer F 22 26.1 7.4 3.5 0.8 0.1 0.1 1.4 6.5 4.0 2 18 0.1 0.2 38.9 34.6 57.1 -2.79 53.2 48.3
Christ Koumadje Christ Koumadje C 36 15.5 6.6 5.4 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.1 4.0 8.7 124 30 4.1 10.5 65.0 0.0 51.4 3.02 74.4 65.0
David Nichols David Nichols G 34 17.3 6.1 1.6 1.7 0.6 0.1 1.4 4.6 4.1 104 28 3.7 9.3 34.2 23.6 69.0 0.72 58.6 40.8
PJ Savoy PJ Savoy G 36 14.4 6.1 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.8 4.2 3.3 79 30 2.6 7.4 37.5 34.4 83.3 -1.69 64.9 52.3
Devin Vassell Devin Vassell - 33 10.7 4.5 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.4 3.2 3.9 105 28 3.8 16.7 43.9 41.4 67.9 2.43 62.4 55.1
Raiquan Gray Raiquan Gray F 35 12.1 3.9 2.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.9 2.6 4.5 94 29 3.2 11.9 43.3 31.8 73.5 3.02 65.3 47.2
Anthony Polite Anthony Polite G 29 10.7 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.6 1.9 3.0 28 25 1.1 4.9 39.3 22.9 75.0 -2.45 57.9 46.4
Wyatt Wilkes Wyatt Wilkes G 15 3.8 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.4 0.9 -1 12 -0.1 -1.0 38.1 26.7 66.7 -1.67 49.3 47.6
Harrison Prieto Harrison Prieto F 9 1.8 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 -7 7 -1.0 -23.1 66.7 0 0 -1.77 66.7 66.7
Justin Lindner Justin Lindner G 7 1.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 1.0 -9 5 -1.8 -46.8 0.0 0.0 50.0 -1.9 36.2 0.0
Will Miles Will Miles G 6 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.5 -0.3 -5 5 -1.0 -31.3 0.0 0.0 50.0 -1.37 12.9 0.0
Travis Light Travis Light G 6 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 -0.5 -9 5 -1.8 -46.8 0.0 0.0 0 -1.9 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG