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Florida State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Florida State Seminoles, Florida State
Program History
Coach: Leonard Hamilton

2018 Team Stats (17 games)

75.5
PPG
71.9
Opp
+3.6
Margin
44.0%
FG%
34.3%
3P%
69.4%
FT%
37.3
RPG
14.3
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
82.2
Adj PPG
68.6
Adj Opp PPG
#24
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1317 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1228 (#30) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1102 (#45) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +14.8 (#25) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +14.7 (#21) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.749 (#50) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.5 More → 0.915 (#23) AdjNet +20.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.8 More → 0.917 (#24) AdjNet +20.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 68.6 More → 0.776 (#24) AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 68.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 67.5 More → 0.699 (#26) AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 67.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.814 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.802 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 35 More → 1243 (#30) RD 94 | GP 35

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-14 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 87 - 67
2017-11-17 vs Fordham Rams W 67 - 43
2017-11-19 vs Colorado State Rams W 90 - 73
2017-11-22 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 98 - 79
2017-11-24 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 113 - 78
2017-11-28 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 78 - 73
2017-12-04 @ Florida Gators W 83 - 66
2017-12-06 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 96 - 71
2017-12-10 vs Tulane Green Wave W 72 - 53
2017-12-16 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys L 70 - 71
2017-12-18 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 69 - 58
2017-12-21 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 98 - 45
2017-12-30 @ Duke Blue Devils L 93 - 100
2018-01-03 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 81 - 80
2018-01-07 @ Miami Hurricanes L 74 - 80
2018-01-10 vs Louisville Cardinals L 69 - 73
2018-01-13 vs Syracuse Orange W 101 - 90
2018-01-15 @ Boston College Eagles L 75 - 81
2018-01-20 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 91 - 82
2018-01-24 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 88 - 77
2018-01-27 vs Miami Hurricanes W 103 - 94
2018-01-31 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 72 - 76
2018-02-03 @ Louisville Cardinals W 80 - 76
2018-02-07 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 55 - 59
2018-02-10 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 69 - 84
2018-02-14 vs Clemson Tigers W 81 - 79
2018-02-18 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 88 - 75
2018-02-25 @ NC State Wolfpack L 72 - 92
2018-02-28 @ Clemson Tigers L 63 - 76
2018-03-03 vs Boston College Eagles W 85 - 76
2018-03-07 vs Louisville Cardinals L 74 - 82
2018-03-16 @ Missouri Tigers W 67 - 54
2018-03-18 @ Xavier Musketeers W 75 - 70
2018-03-22 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs W 75 - 60
2018-03-24 @ Michigan Wolverines L 54 - 58

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Phil Cofer Phil Cofer F 30 29.3 12.5 5.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.3 6.6 11.3 74 23 3.2 5.2 45.5 37.9 71.1 1.21 85.9 53.8
Braian Angola-Rodas Braian Angola-Rodas G 30 27.1 12.5 4.1 3.0 1.3 0.3 2.2 6.2 12.9 81 23 3.5 5.9 37.8 37.1 84.1 -0.04 86.8 47.6
Terance Mann Terance Mann - 29 28.4 12.4 5.4 2.4 1.0 0.3 1.6 5.3 14.7 60 21 2.9 4.4 56.5 29.6 60.0 -0.33 101.3 59.1
CJ Walker CJ Walker G 30 23.2 7.8 2.6 2.5 1.1 0.2 1.8 3.6 8.7 61 23 2.7 5.7 35.8 34.7 73.9 1.5 98.2 43.6
Trent Forrest Trent Forrest - 29 25.9 7.8 4.9 4.1 1.4 0.3 1.8 3.6 13.3 146 22 6.6 11.8 46.6 0.0 69.6 3.97 82.0 46.6
Mfiondu Kabengele Mfiondu Kabengele - 29 15.3 7.7 5.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.2 3.2 9.8 120 22 5.5 17.3 48.4 40.0 63.3 3.66 96.9 51.6
MJ Walker MJ Walker - 30 19.2 6.9 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.2 1.0 3.3 6.2 112 22 5.1 12.6 33.3 29.8 68.2 3.64 94.8 41.9
PJ Savoy PJ Savoy G 25 12.7 6.5 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.6 3.8 4.4 63 19 3.3 10.4 34.0 35.0 76.5 -2.0 79.8 48.9
Christ Koumadje Christ Koumadje C 19 15.5 6.3 4.1 0.1 0.1 1.5 0.9 3.2 8.1 -29 15 -1.9 -4.6 60.7 0 61.1 -1.1 87.1 60.7
Ike Obiagu Ike Obiagu C 29 11.0 2.6 2.5 0.0 0.2 2.1 0.8 1.0 5.7 107 21 5.1 19.0 66.7 0 42.9 3.83 103.7 66.7
Travis Light Travis Light G 5 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.6 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 -0.91 75.0 75.0
Brandon Allen Brandon Allen F 20 4.2 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.4 33 14 2.4 20.8 66.7 50.0 0 0.18 175.0 75.0
Harrison Prieto Harrison Prieto F 2 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 - - - - 50.0 0 0 -1.32 50.0 50.0
Wyatt Wilkes Wyatt Wilkes G 6 7.3 0.7 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.7 1.7 25 5 5.0 31.8 50.0 0.0 0 1.02 50.0 50.0
Will Miles Will Miles G 3 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.84 0.0 0.0
Anthony Polite Anthony Polite G 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Justin Lindner Justin Lindner G 5 1.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.24 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG